Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Aris Thessalonikis 3-2 Volos NFC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Aris Thessalonikis, 27% draw, 22% Volos NFC — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Aris Thessalonikis at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33Ricardo VelhoG
- 2J. PétrisD
- 4FabianoD
- 44B. ŠutaloD
- 3O. RichardsD
- 7B. GarréM
- 18M. HonglaM
- 10U. RačićM
- 77BrumaM
- 8C. KouaméF
- 9T. KadewereF
- 41Konstantinos CharoupasM
- 22M. VoriazidisM
- 20T. Dele-BashiruM
- 1S. DioudisG
- 27N. FadigaD
- 6K. GalanopoulosM
- 97F. JensenM
- 21L. MajkićG
- 17Rafa MirF
- 1M. SiampanisG
- 28S. KatsikasD
- 99D. AgyakwaD
- 4G. KargasD
- 24K. LykourinosD
- 27D. BurnićM
- 17V. GrosdisM
- 21M. GonzálezM
- 8M. CombaM
- 7L. LamprouM
- 11Gustavo FurtadoF
- 72E. TasiourasD
- 20Xesc RegisF
- 89F. RefatllariM
- 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
- 12Y. LodyginG
- 49G. CharalampoglouF
- 5R. CabellaM
- 88K. BareM
Form going into Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
Aris Thessalonikis
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Iraklis 190819 September 2026
- L0-2away to PAOK13 September 2026
- L0-5away to AEK Athens FC5 September 2026
- W2-1OFI30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Kalamata22 August 2026
Volos NFC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
- D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
- L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026
What these results say
- Aris Thessalonikis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
- 13 May 2026Volos NFC 1–2 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- 18 April 2026Aris Thessalonikis 3–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 14 February 2026Volos NFC 1–1 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- 23 August 2025Aris Thessalonikis 2–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 1 March 2025Volos NFC 1–1 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC
Aris Thessalonikis
GoalsAssists
- Fabiano40
- C. Kouamé30
- T. Kadewere30
Volos NFC
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aris Thessalonikis beat Volos NFC 3–2. The model had made a win for Aris Thessalonikis its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Christian Kouamé 7' for Aris Thessalonikis, Fabiano Leismann 23' for Aris Thessalonikis, Tino Kadewere 43' for Aris Thessalonikis, Derek Agyakwa 58' for Volos NFC, Giannis Kargas 86' for Volos NFC. On expected goals it finished 3.22–1.24.
How the call on Aris Thessalonikis v Volos NFC has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Aris Thessalonikis's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Aris Thessalonikis win51%▲ +4
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Volos NFC win22%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.