Ipswich vs Sunderland Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Ipswich, 25% draw, 33% Sunderland — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ipswich at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ipswich vs Sunderland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 37Kjell ScherpenG
- 26Dara O'SheaD
- 6Issa DiopD
- 24Jacob GreavesD
- 3Leif DavisD
- 32Marcelino NúñezM
- 23Saša LukićM
- 7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuM
- 10Julio EncisoM
- 38Daizen MaedaM
- 19EmersonnF
- 20Kasey McAteerM
- 29Chuba AkpomF
- 47Jack ClarkeF
- 42Abdoul OuattaraD
- 8Sindre Walle EgeliF
- 28Christian WaltonG
- 2Darnell FurlongD
- 4Cédric KipréD
- 30Cameron HumphreysM
- 22Robin RoefsG
- 12Thomas MeunierD
- 5Daniel BallardD
- 13Luke O'NienD
- 17Reinildo MandavaD
- 27Noah SadikiM
- 34Granit XhakaM
- 32Trai HumeM
- 28Enzo Le FéeM
- 10Nilson AnguloM
- 9Brian BrobbeyF
- 7Chemsdine TalbiF
- 15Omar AldereteD
- 18Wilson IsidorF
- 11Chris RiggM
- 19Habib DiarraM
- 31Melker EllborgG
- 20Nordi MukieleD
- 37Jocelin Ta BiF
- 14Romaine MundleF
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Sunderland
- 13 January 2024Ipswich 2–1 SunderlandChampionship
- 6 August 2023Sunderland 1–2 IpswichChampionship
- 18 December 2021Ipswich 1–1 SunderlandLeague One
- 20 November 2021Sunderland 2–0 IpswichLeague One
- 26 January 2021Ipswich 0–1 SunderlandLeague One
The result against the call
Ipswich beat Sunderland 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ipswich at 42%. The goals: Emersonn 24' for Ipswich, N. Angulo 39' for Sunderland, J. Clarke 90' for Ipswich. On expected goals it finished 1.74–0.76.