Dundee United vs Dundee Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee United 0-2 Dundee.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Dundee United, 26% draw, 34% Dundee — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dundee United at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee United vs Dundee
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. WaltonG
- 5V. SeveljD
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 18M. ForbesD
- 11W. FerryD
- 10D. TaitM
- 8P. CamaraM
- 26A. YoroM
- 7M. MerghemF
- 93I. MetsokoF
- 21J. RandallF
- 30J. AmissahG
- 6R. GrahamD
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 4I. IovuD
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 15L. RoseF
- 77D. BennieF
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. Bevan
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 27J. BevanM
- 18C. ReillyM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 2B. HallidayD
- 52C. OosenbrughD
- 17Z. BesirM
- 28C. JonesM
- 10F. Robertson
- 58E. CrombieM
- 21B. FinkD
- 9B. WalesF
Form going into Dundee United vs Dundee
Dundee United
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Heart of Midlothian9 August 2026
- D1-1Rangers31 July 2026
Dundee
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Aberdeen8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Celtic3 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee United vs Dundee
- 26 April 2026Dundee United 3–0 DundeePremiership
- 15 March 2026Dundee 2–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 3 January 2026Dundee United 0–1 DundeePremiership
- 31 August 2025Dundee 0–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 16 March 2025Dundee United 2–4 DundeePremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee United and Dundee
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- J. Randall33
Dundee
GoalsAssists
- B. Fink40
- J. Westley40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee won 2–0 at Dundee United. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee United at 40% and given a win for Dundee 34%. The goals: D. Wright 43' for Dundee, O. Bevan 57' for Dundee. On expected goals it finished 1.24–1.61.