Everton vs Crystal Palace Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Everton, 22% draw, 30% Crystal Palace — fair odds of 2.08, 4.55 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Everton at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Everton vs Crystal Palace
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Jordan PickfordG
- 34Merlin RöhlD
- 6James TarkowskiD
- 4Jarrad BranthwaiteD
- 16Vitaliy MykolenkoD
- 45Harrison ArmstrongM
- 30Hayden HackneyM
- 10Iliman NdiayeM
- 8Kiernan Dewsbury-HallM
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 11Thierno BarryF
- 37James GarnerM
- 9BetoF
- 22Brennan JohnsonF
- 24Carlos AlcarazM
- 12Mark TraversG
- 2Nathan PattersonD
- 5Michael KeaneD
- 15Jake O'BrienD
- 20Tyler DiblingF
- 1Dean HendersonG
- 6Jaydee CanvotD
- 26Chris RichardsD
- 4Chadi RiadD
- 2Daniel MuñozM
- 20Adam WhartonM
- 18Daichi KamadaM
- 3Tyrick MitchellM
- 11Dwight McNeilF
- 9Eddie NketiahF
- 14Jean-Philippe MatetaF
- 25Anan KhalailiF
- 10Yéremy PinoM
- 22Jørgen Strand LarsenF
- 29Evann GuessandF
- 17Takehiro TomiyasuD
- 44Walter BenítezG
- 24Borna SosaD
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 19Will HughesM
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Everton vs Crystal Palace
- 10 May 2026Crystal Palace 2–2 EvertonPremier League
- 5 October 2025Everton 2–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 15 February 2025Crystal Palace 1–2 EvertonPremier League
- 28 September 2024Everton 2–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 19 February 2024Everton 1–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
Leading scorers: Everton and Crystal Palace
Everton
GoalsAssists
- T. Barry61
- K. Dewsbury-Hall31
Crystal Palace
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Everton beat Crystal Palace 2–0. The model had made a win for Everton its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: K. Dewsbury-Hall 42' for Everton, T. Barry 53' for Everton. On expected goals it finished 1.16–2.04.