4 October 2026, 21:05 UTC

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Referee: J. Ortiz
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once Caldas.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Internacional de Bogota, 30% draw, 33% Once Caldas — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Internacional de Bogota at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Internacional de Bogota4%Draw93%Once Caldas3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽J. A. Zapata Ramirezassist: A. Roa
⚽D. Duarteassist: R. Julio
21'
26'
Andres Colorado
🔁R. Julioout: J. Caballero
46'
Larry Vásquez
50'
🔁C. Dajomeout: F. Bone
62'
62'
🔁A. Roaout: E. Torres
62'
🔁M. Barriosout: M. Zuleta
73'
Edwin Torres
🔁R. Manjarresout: D. S. Victoria Palacios
75'
🔁D. Duarteout: J. Palomeque
75'
75'
🔁P. Gomezout: D. Moreno
🔁F. Sanguinettiout: Y. Garcia
88'
89'
🔁J. A. Zapata Ramirezout: J. Nieto

Match stats — Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas

54%Possession46%
18Shots7
3On target5
1Corners5

Line-ups

Internacional de Bogota 4-2-3-1
  • 1W. FarinezG
  • 20J. CastroD
  • 4M. RodasD
  • 26A. IrazoqueD
  • 13M. PerniaD
  • 5L. VasquezM
  • 24R. ManjarresM
  • 25R. JulioM
  • 11C. DajomeM
  • 7F. SanguinettiM
  • 9D. DuarteF
Substitutes
  • 33K. CatanoG
  • 8D. S. Victoria PalaciosM
  • 6M. Angel Amaya Pena
  • 14M. SantamariaM
  • 32J. Palomeque
  • 10F. BoneF
  • 23J. CaballeroF
  • 22S. GiradoF
  • 19Y. GarciaF
Coach: Ricardo Valino
Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
  • 99J. ParraG
  • 22J. D. Cuesta SantosD
  • 2J. CardonaD
  • 30D. LondonoD
  • 3A. CorreaD
  • 23A. ColoradoM
  • 7M. BarriosM
  • 20A. RoaM
  • 42J. QuinonesM
  • 9P. GomezM
  • 14J. A. Zapata RamirezF
Substitutes
  • 12J. CamargoG
  • 16J. CastanoD
  • 33J. PatinoD
  • 5J. NietoM
  • 36R. Acuna
  • 19T. RojasM
  • 17D. MorenoF
  • 29E. TorresF
  • 28M. ZuletaM
Coach: Carlos Valencia

Form going into Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas

Internacional de Bogota

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Deportivo Pereira26 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Bucaramanga20 September 2026

Once Caldas

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Bucaramanga26 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Deportivo Pasto20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Internacional de Bogota184862225-320
8Once Caldas187652218+427

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas

  • 20 April 2026Once Caldas 2–1 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
  • 7 October 2025Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Once CaldasPrimera A
  • 16 April 2025Once Caldas 3–0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
  • 4 August 2024Internacional de Bogota 1–1 Once CaldasPrimera A
  • 31 May 2024Internacional de Bogota 1–2 Once CaldasPrimera A

Leading scorers: Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas

Internacional de Bogota

GoalsAssists

  • F. Sanguinetti107

Once Caldas

GoalsAssists

  • D. Moreno171
  • J. Zapata133

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Internacional de Bogota at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. A. Zapata Ramirez 6' for Once Caldas, D. Duarte 21' for Internacional de Bogota.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.