Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Fortaleza FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Deportivo Pasto, 29% draw, 29% Fortaleza FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Pasto at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC
Line-ups
- 12G. BangueraG
- 33M. GaravitoD
- 2F. TorijanoD
- 5N. GilD
- 27H. GoyesD
- 7J. PerlazaM
- 8E. C. Serje OrozcoM
- 25F. LeysM
- 10D. ChavezM
- 18J. Micolta PiedahitaF
- 19P. Preciado
- 1E. A. Cabezas QuinonezG
- 21D. Osede
- 3J. RiosD
- 15H. MancillaM
- 24K. Santacruz
- 32M. PisanoM
- 11A. IbarguenF
- 17J. MendezF
- 28T. Blandon
- 1W. BarlasinaG
- 16J. CajaresD
- 6Y. DiazD
- 5J. Medina ObandoD
- 15S. CueroD
- 13B. Mejia
- 32M. Vazquez
- 8S. NavarroM
- 28S. VivasM
- 25J. Garcia
- 9J. HerreraF
- 12C. SantanderG
- 2A. CopeteM
- 4E. CabezasD
- 17K. A. Balanta CarabaliM
- 14L. PicoM
- 19F. PulicastroF
- 7I. MontanoF
- 24J. SalasF
- 27J. SinisterraF
Form going into Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Chico25 September 2026
- W1-0Once Caldas20 September 2026
Fortaleza FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Deportes Tolima27 September 2026
- L1-4Junior20 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 15 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC
- 25 March 2026Fortaleza FC 1–2 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
- 24 October 2025Fortaleza FC 2–0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
- 4 May 2025Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
- 15 September 2024Fortaleza FC 0–0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
- 5 March 2024Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
The result against the call
Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo Pasto at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza FC has moved
First published on 23 Sep at 43% / 30% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Fortaleza FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Deportivo Pasto win42%▼ −1
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Fortaleza FC win29%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.