Colombian Primera A predictions

Saturday 3 October — 2 matches

• 19:00 UTC Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00.
• 21:05 UTC Deportes Tolima vs Chico — model 54% / 28% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.57 · 5.56.

Sunday 4 October — 4 matches

• 19:00 UTC Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC — model 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.33 · 3.45.
• 21:05 UTC Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas — model 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.33 · 3.03.
• 21:05 UTC Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70.
• 23:10 UTC Bucaramanga vs Junior — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70.

Monday 5 October — 1 match

• 01:15 UTC Llaneros vs America de Cali — model 30% / 32% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.13 · 2.63.

Tuesday 6 October — 1 match

• 00:00 UTC Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13.

Thursday 8 October — 1 match

• 01:20 UTC Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima — model 48% / 29% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.45 · 4.35.

Saturday 10 October — 3 matches

• 00:30 UTC Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
• 21:00 UTC Once Caldas vs Llaneros — model 43% / 31% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.23 · 3.85.
• 23:10 UTC Junior vs Internacional de Bogota — model 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.92 · 3.70 · 4.76.

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

• 01:15 UTC Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto — model 60% / 24% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.67 · 4.17 · 6.25.
• 19:00 UTC Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — model 26% / 32% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.13 · 2.38.
• 20:00 UTC Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios — model 31% / 30% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.33 · 2.56.
• 21:05 UTC Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima — model 31% / 30% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.33 · 2.56.

Monday 12 October — 1 match

• 01:15 UTC America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — model 48% / 29% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.45 · 4.35.

Tuesday 13 October — 1 match

• 01:10 UTC Chico vs Cucuta — model 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.33 · 3.23.

Wednesday 14 October — 2 matches

• 00:00 UTC Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas — model 51% / 28% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.57 · 4.76.
• 23:00 UTC Junior vs Deportivo Pereira — model 55% / 27% / 18%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.70 · 5.56.

Thursday 15 October — 1 match

• 01:05 UTC Santa Fe vs Jaguares — model 56% / 26% / 18%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.79 · 3.85 · 5.56.

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 19:00 UTC Chico vs Atletico Nacional — model 23% / 28% / 49%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.35 · 3.57 · 2.04.
• 21:00 UTC Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima — model 34% / 31% / 35%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.23 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 23:05 UTC Millonarios vs Jaguares — model 56% / 26% / 18%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.79 · 3.85 · 5.56.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

30 September to 3 October: the model called the result of 2 of 3 matches.

• Independiente Medellin 2–2 Millonarios — the model said 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Atletico Nacional 3–1 Junior — the model said 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Deportivo Cali 3–1 Alianza Valledupar — the model said 54% / 28% / 18%, most likely 1-0: result correct.