4 October 2026, 21:05 UTC

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira Primera A prediction & result

Estadio General Santander
Referee: D. Ulloa
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Cucuta 4-0 Deportivo Pereira.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Cucuta, 30% draw, 27% Deportivo Pereira — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cucuta at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cucuta99%Draw1%Deportivo Pereira0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Luis Jeiner Moreno
⚽Nenecoassist: G. Torres
7'
Yair Abonia
17'
20'
Richard Rentería
21'
Eber Moreno
⚽L. Berdugo (pen)
25'
Gustavo Torres
32'
⚽G. Torresassist: J. Peralta
32'
40'
•Jorge Bermúdez
41'
Jorge Bermúdez
Dayan Pérez
45+1'
🔁Y. Aboniaout: S. Tamara
46'
🔁G. Torresout: M. B. Carabali Lopez
46'
46'
🔁J. Largachaout: E. Moreno
46'
🔁L. Morenoout: M. Perez
Victor Mejia
57'
🔁D. Perezout: S. Vasquez
60'
🔁V. Mejiaout: J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
69'
Santiago Vásquez
70'
72'
🔁S. Acostaout: F. Mosquera
⚽J. Peraltaassist: Neneco
74'
🔁J. Peraltaout: J. Agudelo
77'
Hernán Lópes
87'
88'
🔁M. Aguirreout: M. Palacios

Match stats — Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira

68%Possession32%
13Shots4
6On target0
6Corners0

Line-ups

Cucuta 4-3-3
  • 12F. Abadia
  • 26Y. AboniaD
  • 2H. LopesD
  • 4J. QuinonesD
  • 27E. M. Duarte BarajasD
  • 10L. BerdugoM
  • 5V. MejiaM
  • 77NenecoM
  • 20D. PerezF
  • 9J. PeraltaF
  • 11G. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 1J. RamirezG
  • 3D. CalcaterraD
  • 33S. TamaraM
  • 29L. RiosM
  • 8J. CeballosM
  • 15S. VasquezM
  • 21M. B. Carabali LopezF
  • 7J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
  • 32J. AgudeloF
Coach: Nicolas Chiesa
Deportivo Pereira 4-4-2
  • 1Y. A. Gomez PalacioG
  • 16E. A. Moreno GomezD
  • 15S. AguilarD
  • 17R. RenteriaD
  • 23T. BovoneD
  • 20J. MonroyM
  • 5J. A. Bermudez CorreaM
  • 37L. Moreno
  • 19M. AguirreM
  • 10S. AcostaF
  • 11J. LargachaF
Substitutes
  • 12J. Betancourth
  • 25F. DelgadoD
  • 14E. MorenoM
  • 8F. Mosquera
  • 24M. PalaciosM
  • 26J. MontoyaM
  • 7A. PlataF
  • 18M. PerezF
  • 29M. DiazF
Coach: Arturo Reyes

Form going into Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira

Cucuta

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Llaneros26 September 2026

Deportivo Pereira

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Santa Fe29 September 2026
  • D0-0Internacional de Bogota26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Cucuta187381926-724
17Deportivo Pereira183871626-1017

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira

  • 24 March 2026Deportivo Pereira 2–2 CucutaPrimera A
  • 2 February 2020Deportivo Pereira 2–0 CucutaPrimera A
  • 21 August 2018Deportivo Pereira 0–1 CucutaPrimera B
  • 21 March 2018Cucuta 2–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera B
  • 30 July 2017Cucuta 0–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera B

The result against the call

Cucuta beat Deportivo Pereira 4–0. The model had made a win for Cucuta its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Neneco 7' for Cucuta, L. Berdugo (penalty) 25' for Cucuta, G. Torres 32' for Cucuta, J. Peralta 74' for Cucuta. Sent off: Jorge Bermúdez (Deportivo Pereira) 41'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.