4 October 2026, 23:10 UTC

Bucaramanga vs Junior Primera A prediction & result

Bucaramanga
Referee: W. Roldan
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Bucaramanga 3-1 Junior.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bucaramanga, 29% draw, 27% Junior — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bucaramanga at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Ortiz (OG)
7'
J. Garcia
22'
25'
⚽L. Muriel (pen)
⚽F. Hinestrozaassist: L. Pons
33'
⚽E. Batallaassist: F. Hinestroza
37'
43'
P. Ortiz
46'
🔁D. Riveraout: D. Socarras
F. Sambueza
61'
64'
⚽L. Muriel (pen)assist: L. Muriel
E. Batalla
64'
66'
🔁D. Caicedoout: B. Castrillon
66'
🔁J. Rivasout: K. Perez
66'
🔁F. S. Angel Bernalout: H. Rivera
🔁F. Hinestrozaout: A. Gutierrez
74'
🔁F. Sambuezaout: O. Albornoz
74'
81'
🔁G. Celisout: G. Paiva
🔁L. Ponsout: B. Caicedo
84'
🔁N. Castrillonout: A. Murrilo
85'
🔁E. Batallaout: L. Flores
85'

Match stats — Bucaramanga vs Junior

42%Possession58%
12Shots24
4On target8
2Corners7

Line-ups

Bucaramanga 5-3-2
  • 12D. NovoaG
  • 6N. CastrillonD
  • 24J. OrtizD
  • 23C. RomanaD
  • 4J. GarciaD
  • 8F. HinestrozaD
  • 21F. CharrupiM
  • 22FabryM
  • 17E. BatallaM
  • 10F. SambuezaF
  • 27L. PonsF
Substitutes
  • 16L. Matheus
  • 19A. GutierrezD
  • 3M. ReaD
  • 80O. AlbornozD
  • 30V. CantilloM
  • 28L. FloresM
  • 9B. CaicedoF
  • 11J. SalazarF
  • 5A. MurriloF
Coach: Leonel Alvarez
Junior 4-2-3-1
  • 30J. MartinezG
  • 98J. PenaD
  • 5D. RiveraD
  • 23P. OrtizD
  • 26Y. SuarezD
  • 28G. CelisM
  • 80F. S. Angel BernalM
  • 25D. CaicedoM
  • 29T. GutierrezM
  • 22J. RivasM
  • 10L. MurielF
Substitutes
  • 12J. L. Acosta AlmeidaG
  • 16C. Perez
  • 34D. SocarrasD
  • 7H. RiveraM
  • 14J. RiosM
  • 19F. FydriszewskiF
  • 18K. PerezF
  • 9G. PaivaF
  • 88B. CastrillonF
Coach: Sebastian Viera

Form going into Bucaramanga vs Junior

Bucaramanga

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to Once Caldas26 September 2026
  • W2-0Internacional de Bogota20 September 2026

Junior

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Atletico Nacional1 October 2026
  • W2-0Independiente Medellin27 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Fortaleza FC20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Bucaramanga188823017+1332
14Junior184772527-219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bucaramanga vs Junior

  • 24 March 2026Junior 2–0 BucaramangaPrimera A
  • 18 August 2025Junior 2–1 BucaramangaPrimera A
  • 1 March 2025Bucaramanga 1–1 JuniorPrimera A
  • 18 July 2024Bucaramanga 1–0 JuniorPrimera A
  • 26 May 2024Junior 1–0 BucaramangaPrimera A

Leading scorers: Bucaramanga and Junior

Bucaramanga

GoalsAssists

  • L. Pons155
  • E. Batalla126

Junior

GoalsAssists

  • L. Muriel163

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bucaramanga beat Junior 3–1. The model had made a win for Bucaramanga its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: P. Ortiz (own goal) 7' for Bucaramanga, L. Muriel (penalty) 25' for Junior, F. Hinestroza 33' for Bucaramanga, E. Batalla 37' for Bucaramanga. Sent off: J. Garcia (Bucaramanga) 22'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.