Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Instituto Cordoba, 19% draw, 19% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Instituto Cordoba at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Marcos LedesmaG
- 30Jonathan GalvánD
- 26Leonel MosevichD
- 6Fernando AlarcónD
- 44Giuliano CeratoM
- 55Gustavo AbregúM
- 15Matías GallardoM
- 3Diego Alejandro SosaM
- 20Jhon CórdobaF
- 10Alex LunaF
- 17Matías TisseraF
- 21Jeremías LázaroM
- 22Agustín MassaccesiD
- 9Facundo SuárezF
- 11Matías FonsecaF
- 35Emanuel SittaroG
- 23Juan MeliD
- 32Agustín BravoD
- 2Hernán de la FuenteD
- 19Gastón LodicoM
- 23Cesar RigamontiG
- 22Juan FrancoD
- 42Lautaro CarreraD
- 4Ezequiel MuñozD
- 16Germán GuiffreyD
- 3Matias RecaldeD
- 26Facundo LencioniM
- 21Fermin AntoniniM
- 19Julian CeballosM
- 9Agustín ModicaF
- 7Luciano CingolaniF
- 10Nicolás RomanoF
- 28Tomás O'ConnorM
- 41Gerónimo PatrittiM
- 32Luciano ParedesD
- 17Ignacio SabatiniF
- 31Lautaro PetruchiG
- 5Nahuel BarbozaM
- 33Brian AndradaF
- 15Ulises SánchezM
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Lanus3 August 2026
- W2-1Platense30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Union Santa Fe1 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo28 July 2026
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 9 February 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 July 2022Gimnasia Mendoza 2–0 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
- 17 November 2019Gimnasia Mendoza 2–1 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
- 20 April 2019Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Gimnasia MendozaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia Mendoza
GoalsAssists
- A. Módica140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Instituto Cordoba beat Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0. The model had made a win for Instituto Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Luna 80' for Instituto Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 2.28–0.30.