San Lorenzo vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: San Lorenzo 0-2 Huracan.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% San Lorenzo, 26% draw, 34% Huracan — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
San Lorenzo at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Huracan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12O. GillG
- 54N. BlancoD
- 19E. AmorD
- 2D. ArboledaD
- 35A. CordobaD
- 6M. De RitisD
- 10F. GulliM
- 27M. RioM
- 24N. TripichioM
- 9A. CuelloF
- 29R. AuzmendiF
- 25J. DevecchiG
- 18D. HerazoF
- 21G. del PreteF
- 42F. LorenzonD
- 15M. CardilloM
- 5I. PerruzziM
- 16G. CorujoD
- 22J. AlvarezM
- 11M. RealiF
- 1H. GalindezG
- 2L. BlondelD
- 21H. NervoD
- 3L. CarrizoD
- 35M. PalazzoD
- 24F. KalingerM
- 5Rodrigo FernandezM
- 8L. GilM
- 17J. Bisanz
- 9J. CaicedoF
- 7O. CortesF
- 32S. MezaG
- 23I. PussettoF
- 6F. PereyraD
- 4F. VeraD
- 34I. CampoD
- 11T. PeraltaM
- 10O. RomeroM
- 14A. MartinezM
- 19L. LescanoD
Form going into San Lorenzo vs Huracan
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026
Huracan
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman4 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia30 July 2026
- W1-0Banfield25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: San Lorenzo vs Huracan
- 8 February 2026Huracan 1–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 August 2025San Lorenzo 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 February 2025Huracan 2–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 July 2024San Lorenzo 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 February 2024Huracan 0–0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Huracan
San Lorenzo
GoalsAssists
- R. Auzmendi72
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Huracan won 2–0 at San Lorenzo. The model had leaned towards a win for San Lorenzo at 40% and given a win for Huracan 34%. The goals: J. Caicedo 45' for Huracan, J. Caicedo 57' for Huracan. Sent off: Orlando Gill (San Lorenzo) 62'. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.22.