Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 Barracas Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Gimnasia La Plata, 22% draw, 20% Barracas Central — fair odds of 1.72, 4.55 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Gimnasia La Plata at 58%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23N. InsfranG
- 25A. SteimbachD
- 35J. CortazzoD
- 21E. MartinezD
- 24P. Silva TorrejonD
- 5I. MiramonM
- 16A. MaxM
- 10N. SchelottoM
- 8N. FernandezM
- 29A. AuzmendiF
- 19A. ColazoF
- 15H. CastilloG
- 9M. ZalazarF
- 7M. PanaroF
- 31B. Barros SchelottoD
- 26F. TorresF
- 18M. SeoaneM
- 17L. JansonF
- 42S. VillarrealM
- 37J. LangaD
- 30M. MinoG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 14K. JappertD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 6R. InsuaD
- 8T. PorraM
- 5D. MilocM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 20J. CandiaF
- 77F. BrueraF
- 1J. EspinolaG
- 37G. CampiD
- 33G. MaroniM
- 7J. BarbieriF
- 2N. CapraroD
- 79M. PuigM
- 18M. DuarteM
- 32F. TobioD
- 21L. GambaF
Form going into Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central
Gimnasia La Plata
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Aldosivi2 August 2026
- W1-0River Plate29 July 2026
- L1-2away to Racing Club24 July 2026
Barracas Central
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Deportivo Riestra2 August 2026
- W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026
- W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central
- 9 February 2026Barracas Central 2–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 December 2025Barracas Central 0–2 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 August 2024Barracas Central 0–1 Gimnasia La PlataCopa Argentina
- 13 June 2024Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 March 2024Gimnasia La Plata 2–0 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Gimnasia La Plata and Barracas Central
Gimnasia La Plata
GoalsAssists
- M. Torres102
- A. Auzmendi84
Barracas Central
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimnasia La Plata beat Barracas Central 2–0. The model had made a win for Gimnasia La Plata its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Colazo 46' for Gimnasia La Plata, F. Torres 90' for Gimnasia La Plata. On expected goals it finished 1.20–0.35.