20 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Heart of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Heart of Midlothian, 24% draw, 46% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 3.33, 4.17 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rapid Vienna at 46% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

31'
⚽S. Raux-Yaoassist: M. Seidl
Pierre Landry Kaboré
50'
🔁P. Kaboreout: J. Wilson
56'
⚽S. Raux-Yao (OG)
56'
⚽J. Wilsonassist: C. Braga
62'
65'
Petter Nosakhare Dahl
🔁J. McPakeout: R. Mato
72'
76'
🔁T. Adamsenout: N. Bajlicz
76'
🔁P. Dahlout: N. Wurmbrand
79'
⚽N. Wurmbrandassist: N. Bajlicz
🔁T. Renaudout: T. Magnusson
80'
83'
🔁Y. Demirout: M. Tilio
87'
Romeo Amane
90+4'
Nicolas Bajlicz
90+3'
🔁R. Amaneout: M. Haidara

Match stats — Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna

39%Possession61%
17Shots9
4On target6
4Corners5

Line-ups

Heart of Midlothian 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. ReusG
  • 23J. AltenaD
  • 6O. McEnteeD
  • 17S. FindlayD
  • 5J. McCartD
  • 12T. RenaudM
  • 16B. SpittalM
  • 7C. MillerM
  • 10C. BragaM
  • 15J. McPakeM
  • 11P. KaboreF
Substitutes
  • 30R. FultonG
  • 34K. WrightG
  • 2C. BorchgrevinkD
  • 24M. KamaraD
  • 22T. MagnussonM
  • 29S. KerjotaF
  • 77A. Ba-SyF
  • 19S. GuendouzF
  • 74R. MatoF
Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 29R. AmaneM
  • 22Y. DemirM
  • 8T. AdamsenM
  • 10P. DahlM
  • 9E. KaraF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 51B. GoschlG
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 2E. RokaD
  • 47A. GrollerD
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 28M. OswaldM
  • 30N. BajliczM
Coach: Johannes Thorup

Form going into Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna

Heart of Midlothian

  • D1-1Benfica13 August 2026
  • W4-0Dundee United9 August 2026
  • L1-6away to Benfica6 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Aberdeen1 August 2026
  • L0-2Sturm Graz28 July 2026

Rapid Vienna

  • W8-0Grazer AK16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Heart of Midlothian failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Heart of Midlothian scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Heart of Midlothian conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
3Heart of MidlothianPremiership7412148+613
1Rapid ViennaBundesliga7601217+1418

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna

Heart of Midlothian

  • J. Wilson3 goals
  • J. McPake2 goals4 assists
  • Cláudio Braga2 goals2 assists

Rapid Vienna

  • T. Adamsen4 goals2 assists
  • E. Kara3 goals
  • P. Dahl3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.