Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Gornik Zabrze, 26% draw, 42% Monaco — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Monaco at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
Line-ups
- 1P. SchulzeG
- 61M. SacekD
- 26R. JanickiD
- 20JosemaD
- 64E. JanzaD
- 18L. SadilekM
- 66M. DietzM
- 8P. BernardoM
- 33M. KhlanF
- 11E. PrekopF
- 19Peter FedericoF
- 99T. LoskaG
- 29W. KaniaG
- 4P. BochniewiczD
- 21O. ZmrzlyD
- 2P. Warczak
- 14J. KubickiM
- 82K. UrbanskiM
- 23S. LisethF
- 9J. AntisteF
- 1L. HradeckyG
- 2VandersonD
- 72S. SaneD
- 3E. DierD
- 13C. MawissaD
- 7M. DetourbetM
- 15L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 17S. IdumboM
- 29P. BrunnerF
- 14M. BierethF
- 16P. KohnG
- 50Y. LienardG
- 4J. TezeD
- 5T. KehrerD
- 20NazinhoD
- 19P. CabralM
- 44S. NibombeM
- 46A. SoubeirM
- 49I. ToureM
Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
Gornik Zabrze
- W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
- W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
- W2-0away to Korona Kielce1 August 2026
Monaco
No earlier matches on record this season.
What these results say
- Gornik Zabrze scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Gornik Zabrze and Monaco in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 22 |
| 1 | Monaco | Ligue 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · Ligue 1
Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Monaco
Gornik Zabrze
- Peter4 goals
Monaco
- Paris Josua Brunner4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.