9 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result

Huizhou Olympic Stadium, Huizhou
Referee: Xin He, China
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Hangzhou Greentown 2-4 SHANGHAI SIPG.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hangzhou Greentown, 25% draw, 33% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hangzhou Greentown at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Zhen Wei
⚽Xi Yang (OG)
7'
13'
⚽Óscar Melendo
18'
⚽Prince Ampemassist: Jean Claude Aziangbe
27'
•Xi Yang
🔁Qianglong Taoout: Wang Yudong
46'
🔁Guowen Sunout: Tong Lei
46'
47'
⚽Liu Zhurunassist: Shuai Li
50'
Xi Yang
⚽Marko Tolić (pen)
52'
53'
Yusup Umidjan
Alexandru Mitriță
54'
56'
⚽Leonardoassist: Óscar Melendo
🔁Cheng Jinout: Bao Shengxin
65'
🔁Hao Fangout: Wei Wu
65'
70'
🔁Xi Yangout: Wang Zhenao
⚽Alexandru Mitriță (pen)
72'
81'
🔁Liu Zhurunout: Xinxiang Li
82'
🔁Yusup Umidjanout: Zhang Linpeng
88'
🔁Prince Ampemout: Kuai Jiwen
88'
🔁Leonardoout: Wu Lei
Marko Tolić
90+5'

Match stats — Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG

40%Possession60%
17Shots16
6On target9
5Corners8

Line-ups

Hangzhou Greentown
  • 33Bo ZhaoG
  • 25Xu JunchiD
  • 5Liu HaofanD
  • 36Lucas PossignoloD
  • 26Guowen SunD
  • 22Cheng JinM
  • 4Jin-seob ParkM
  • 7Qianglong TaoM
  • 10Marko TolićM
  • 28Alexandru MitrițăM
  • 18Hao FangF
Substitutes
  • 16Tong LeiD
  • 11Wang YudongF
  • 6Bao ShengxinM
  • 14Wei WuM
  • 24Peicheng ZhaoG
  • 1Chunyu DongG
  • 38Zhang AihuiD
  • 17Shiqin WangD
  • 3Wang ChangD
Coach: Ross Aloisi
SHANGHAI SIPG
  • 1Yan JunlingG
  • 22Xi YangD
  • 13Zhen WeiD
  • 40Yusup UmidjanD
  • 32Shuai LiD
  • 8Jean Claude AziangbeM
  • 10Mateus VitalM
  • 33Liu ZhurunM
  • 21Óscar MelendoM
  • 17Prince AmpemM
  • 45LeonardoF
Substitutes
  • 19Wang ZhenaoD
  • 49Xinxiang LiF
  • 5Zhang LinpengD
  • 47Kuai JiwenF
  • 7Wu LeiF
  • 12Chen WeiG
  • 28Yue XinD
  • 23Fu HuanD
  • 4Wang ShenchaoD
Coach: Kevin Muscat

Form going into Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG

Hangzhou Greentown

Super League

  • W4-1Wuhan Three Towns18 September 2026

SHANGHAI SIPG

Super League

  • D0-0Beijing Guoan5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Hangzhou Greentown30126125554+137
5SHANGHAI SIPG3014885637+1945

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG

  • 15 May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
  • 31 October 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–0 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
  • 14 June 2025Hangzhou Greentown 2–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
  • 17 July 2024Hangzhou Greentown 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup
  • 29 June 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
  • 9 March 2024Hangzhou Greentown 0–0 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League

Leading scorers: Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG

Hangzhou Greentown

GoalsAssists

  • A. Mitriță1315

SHANGHAI SIPG

GoalsAssists

  • Leonardo145

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SHANGHAI SIPG won 4–2 at Hangzhou Greentown. The model had leaned towards a win for Hangzhou Greentown at 42% and given a win for SHANGHAI SIPG 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Xi Yang (own goal) 7' for Hangzhou Greentown, Óscar Melendo 13' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Prince Ampem 18' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Liu Zhurun 47' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo 56' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Alexandru Mitriță (penalty) 72' for Hangzhou Greentown.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hangzhou Greentown a 1.7% chance to finish in the top four: 3.2% after a win, under 1% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

For SHANGHAI SIPG the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 6.3% going in: 14.6% after a win, 3.4% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.6%, 8.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hangzhou Greentown v SHANGHAI SIPG has moved

First published on 25 Sep at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 25% / 33%: the biggest move is Hangzhou Greentown's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Hangzhou Greentown win42%▲ +2
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. SHANGHAI SIPG win33%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.