23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs Benfica UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St.Gallen
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-1 Benfica.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% FC St. Gallen, 20% draw, 42% Benfica — fair odds of 2.63, 5.00 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Benfica at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Lukas Görtler
30'
⚽A. Baldeassist: L. Gortler
37'
44'
⚽Rafa Silvaassist: V. Pavlidis
Jozo Stanić
62'
65'
Vangelis Pavlidis
66'
🔁J. Kaminskiout: T. Gouveia
66'
🔁M. Figueiredoout: E. Barrenechea
🔁C. Witzigout: A. Hunziker
72'
🔁C. Boukhalfaout: L. Frokaj
72'
🔁A. Baldeout: D. Besio
72'
76'
🔁V. Pavlidisout: F. Ivanovic
⚽T. Gaalassist: L. Daschner
80'
84'
🔁Manuout: J. Rego
Tom Gaal
90+4'
🔁J. Stanicout: J. Ruiz
90+3'

Line-ups

FC St. Gallen 3-5-2
  • 1L. Ati ZigiG
  • 26T. GaalD
  • 4J. StanicD
  • 36C. OkorojiM
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 16L. GortlerM
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 11C. BoukhalfaM
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 14A. BaldeF
  • 7C. WitzigM
Substitutes
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 47E. OwusuF
  • 9A. HunzikerF
  • 20L. Frokaj
  • 63C. KonietzkeM
  • 31D. BesioF
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 68M. Heydari
Coach: Enrico Maassen
Benfica 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. TrubinG
  • 6A. BahD
  • 4A. SilvaD
  • 2C. LengletD
  • 26S. DahlD
  • 16ManuM
  • 13J. KaminskiM
  • 27Rafa SilvaM
  • 10G. SudakovM
  • 73M. FigueiredoM
  • 14V. PavlidisF
Substitutes
  • 24S. SoaresG
  • 9F. IvanovicF
  • 77G. MoreiraM
  • 58D. BanjaquiD
  • 62J. NetoD
  • 72AnisioF
  • 47T. GouveiaF
  • 17A. DedicD
  • 44T. AraujoD
Coach: Marco Silva

FC St. Gallen and Benfica in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
5FC St. GallenSuper League73131214-210
2BenficaPrimeira Liga6510214+1716

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League · Primeira Liga

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs Benfica

  • 23 July 2026FC St. Gallen 1–0 BenficaUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and Benfica

FC St. Gallen

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Benfica

  • V. Pavlidis8 goals2 assists
  • G. Prestianni5 goals2 assists
  • L. Barreiro2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.