Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Hammarby FF 3-1 IF Brommapojkarna.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Hammarby FF, 26% draw, 21% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
Line-ups
- 1W. HahnG
- 2E. SkoglundD
- 6I. FofanaD
- 3F. WintherD
- 16N. PerssonD
- 28F. AdjeiM
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 26M. MadjedM
- 31O. Steinke BranbyM
- 9V. LindM
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 20N. BesaraM
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 27F. JakobssonG
- 11O. JohanssonM
- 30S. KebbehF
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 5T. TekieM
- 15O. HagenF
- 1L. CavalliusG
- 11R. ÖrqvistD
- 4O. CottonD
- 2P. VagićD
- 3A. TroelsenD
- 6O. ZandénD
- 9M. HansenM
- 27K. BarslundM
- 21S. StrandM
- 17A. KurochkinM
- 20W. OdefalkF
- 12B. AmoleF
- 30L. BjörklundM
- 25D. BlaževićG
- 24W. DerbaliM
- 34David IssoF
- 7O. OkekeM
- 14Kamilcan SeverF
- 23J. SimpsonD
- 22R. BergvallD
Form going into Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
Hammarby FF
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS6 September 2026
- L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
- W2-0Gais23 August 2026
- W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026
- L0-1Raków Częstochowa13 August 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
All competitions we cover
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
- W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026
- D2-2away to Sirius10 August 2026
What these results say
- Hammarby FF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 21 | +33 | 52 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 26 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 4 September 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–4 Hammarby FFFriendlies Clubs
- 20 July 2025Hammarby FF 3–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 6 April 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 12 August 2024Hammarby FF 3–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna
Hammarby FF
GoalsAssists
- P. Abraham153
- V. Lind1012
IF Brommapojkarna
GoalsAssists
- M. Hansen87
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hammarby FF beat IF Brommapojkarna 3–1. The model had made a win for Hammarby FF its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Paulos Abraham 8' for Hammarby FF, Mads Hansen 29' for IF Brommapojkarna, markus karlsson 45+1' for Hammarby FF, Frederik Franck Winther 56' for Hammarby FF.
How the call on Hammarby FF v IF Brommapojkarna has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 55% / 25% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 53% / 26% / 21%: the biggest move is Hammarby FF's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Hammarby FF win53%▼ −2
- Draw26%▲ +1
- IF Brommapojkarna win21%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.