Hammarby FF
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Hammarby FF 3-1 IF Brommapojkarna.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Hammarby FF, 28% draw, 25% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hammarby FF 1.76, IF Brommapojkarna 0.97.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
Line-ups
- 1W. HahnG
- 2E. SkoglundD
- 6I. FofanaD
- 3F. WintherD
- 16N. PerssonD
- 28F. AdjeiM
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 26M. MadjedM
- 31O. Steinke BranbyM
- 9V. LindM
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 20N. BesaraM
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 27F. JakobssonG
- 11O. JohanssonM
- 30S. KebbehF
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 5T. TekieM
- 15O. HagenF
- 1L. CavalliusG
- 11R. ÖrqvistD
- 4O. CottonD
- 2P. VagićD
- 3A. TroelsenD
- 6O. ZandénD
- 9M. HansenM
- 27K. BarslundM
- 21S. StrandM
- 17A. KurochkinM
- 20W. OdefalkF
- 12B. AmoleF
- 30L. BjörklundM
- 25D. BlaževićG
- 24W. DerbaliM
- 34David IssoF
- 7O. OkekeM
- 14Kamilcan SeverF
- 23J. SimpsonD
- 22R. BergvallD
Form going into Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
Hammarby FF
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS6 September 2026
- L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
- W2-0Gais23 August 2026
- W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
- W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 40 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 26 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 4 September 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–4 Hammarby FFFriendlies Clubs
- 20 July 2025Hammarby FF 3–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 6 April 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 12 August 2024Hammarby FF 3–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 20 July 2024IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna
Hammarby FF
- P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
- V. Lind9 goals11 assists
IF Brommapojkarna
- M. Hansen7 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.76 goals for Hammarby FF and 0.97 for IF Brommapojkarna; the game produced 3 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Paulos Abraham 8' (Hammarby FF), Mads Hansen 29' (IF Brommapojkarna), markus karlsson 45' (Hammarby FF), Frederik Franck Winther 56' (Hammarby FF).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hammarby FF the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Hammarby FF against 0.97 for IF Brommapojkarna. Hammarby FF's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.69 for IF Brommapojkarna.