Grasshoppers
vs
FC Zurich
Super League prediction
The model makes it 45% Grasshoppers, 27% draw, 28% FC Zurich — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.50, FC Zurich 1.14.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Grasshoppers
- L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
- L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026
FC Zurich
- L0-5away to FC Lugano9 August 2026
- W2-1Servette FC1 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC Zurich
- 9 May 2026FC Zurich 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 21 February 2026Grasshoppers 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 29 November 2025FC Zurich 1–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 4 October 2025Grasshoppers 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 10 May 2025FC Zurich 3–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 30 March 2025Grasshoppers 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Grasshoppers carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.34 for FC Zurich. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Grasshoppers D-L-L; FC Zurich L-W-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.14 for FC Zurich. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Grasshoppers rate 0.51 in attack and 1.45 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Zurich rate 0.56 and 1.56.
That points to 49% for over two and a half goals and 53% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FC Zurich, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Grasshoppers the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 1.14 for FC Zurich. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.56 for FC Zurich.