Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Maccabi Haifa, 32% draw, 21% Hapoel Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.13, 3.13 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Haifa at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Line-ups
- 55O. GlazerG
- 25J. BatailleD
- 21N. LonwijkD
- 44PedraoD
- 66TsunamiD
- 19E. AzoulayM
- 4A. MohamedM
- 16K. SaiefM
- 10BruninhoM
- 45C. F. DonM
- 9A. NovakovichF
- 90G. AlvinG
- 35N. Sztejfman
- 8L. YarinM
- 36N. RatnerD
- 11K. GorreF
- 26Silva KaniM
- 7Y. MordechaiM
- 18G. MelamedF
- 29I. KhalailiM
- 1O. KatzG
- 2A. CohenD
- 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
- 25O. DganiD
- 4D. ArroyoD
- 72Y. NassarD
- 77Cle
- 29B. AmianM
- 8T. AltmanM
- 26K. KimvuidiF
- 9F. RivollierF
- 18A. MashiahG
- 3H. ShalomD
- 12S. IsraeliD
- 14E. AsanteM
- 6I. EhudM
- 16R. DavidM
- 28N. CohenM
- 24G. BadashF
- 7S. MazalF
Form going into Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Maccabi Tel Aviv31 August 2026
Hapoel Petah Tikva
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Hapoel Jerusalem29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 18 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
GoalsAssists
- A. Novaković41
- Bruninho35
- E. Azoulay30
Hapoel Petah Tikva
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Maccabi Haifa beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–1. The model had made a win for Maccabi Haifa its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Novakovich 55' for Maccabi Haifa, B. Amian 78' for Hapoel Petah Tikva, Bruninho 85' for Maccabi Haifa.
How the call on Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Petah Tikva has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 33% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 47% / 32% / 21%: the biggest move is Maccabi Haifa's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Maccabi Haifa win47%▲ +2
- Draw32%▼ −1
- Hapoel Petah Tikva win21%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.