Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Jerusalem 4-2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Hapoel Jerusalem, 33% draw, 40% Ironi Kiryat Shmona — fair odds of 3.70, 3.03 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Jerusalem
- L0-1away to Hapoel Petah Tikva29 August 2026
- L2-5Maccabi Tel Aviv23 August 2026
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
- W2-0Ironi Tiberias29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Petah Tikva22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Jerusalem
- A. Idoko2 goals
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
- N. Gabay1 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.