Boulogne vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Boulogne 0-0 Nancy.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Boulogne, 23% draw, 49% Nancy — fair odds of 3.57, 4.35 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Nancy at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Boulogne vs Nancy
Line-ups
- 99B. NoukeuG
- 21A. PlatretD
- 18D. ThiamD
- 25A. KerriouD
- 20T. BruscoD
- 12J. BoyerD
- 8J. MartinM
- 14J. BultelM
- 19N. BinetM
- 10A. HbouchF
- 35C. I. DiaF
- 1X. LenogueG
- 7A. NassiriM
- 28S. PaillardM
- 22S. DuflosD
- 15A. PinotD
- 26O. LenneD
- 36M. Soumah
- 4J. KapengaD
- 34T. DupontM
- 1E. BasilioG
- 44E. TacafredD
- 4N. FernandezD
- 21E. MendyD
- 22L. NdenbeD
- 6K. KebeM
- 25J. GelinM
- 9I. HousniM
- 8W. BouabdelliM
- 7Z. FdaouchM
- 20B. BokanguF
- 30G. LembetG
- 17M. FofanaM
- 11S. CisseF
- 14N. Saint-RufD
- 77Y. NahounouD
- 88J. CoulibalyM
- 2H. TavaresD
- 26Z. ZtoutiF
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Nancy | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Boulogne vs Nancy
- 20 March 2026Boulogne 0–0 NancyLigue 2
- 15 August 2025Nancy 1–0 BoulogneLigue 2
- 28 February 2025Nancy 0–2 BoulogneLigue 3
- 27 September 2024Boulogne 1–1 NancyLigue 3
The result against the call
Boulogne and Nancy drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Nancy at 49% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.