25 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Girona vs Albacete Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Referee: Saul Ais Reig
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Girona 2-0 Albacete.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Girona, 28% draw, 22% Albacete — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Girona at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Girona99%Draw1%Albacete0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Abel Ruízassist: Javier Boñar
6'
⚽Donny van de Beekassist: Carles Pérez
43'
45'
🔁Javi Villarout: Sergio Ortuno Diaz
52'
Victor Valverde da Silva
53'
Sergio Ortuno Diaz
🔁Abel Ruízout: Juan Arango
66'
🔁Donny van de Beekout: Abdul Mumin
66'
66'
🔁Victor Valverde da Silvaout: Higinio Marín
67'
Fran Gámez
74'
🔁Antonio Pacheco Ruizout: Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
74'
🔁Fran Gámezout: Agustin Albarracin Basil
🔁Javi Sarasaout: Unai Hernández
77'
80'
Higinio Marín
🔁Álex Morenoout: Mateu Morey
84'
🔁Carles Pérezout: Portu
84'
90+1'
Sergio Ortuno Diaz

Match stats — Girona vs Albacete

56%Possession44%
18Shots20
3On target5
3Corners5

Line-ups

Girona 4-2-3-1
  • 13P. GazzanigaG
  • 4Javier BoñarD
  • 5David LópezD
  • 16Alejandro FrancésD
  • 11Álex MorenoD
  • 14Iván MoranteM
  • 24I. GonzalezM
  • 23Carles PérezM
  • 6D. van de BeekM
  • 36Javier SarasaM
  • 9Abel RuizF
Substitutes
  • 39Guillem BadiaD
  • 44Jordi Bilali DansoG
  • 35Mohammed HamonyM
  • 30Unai HernándezM
  • 28Gibert JordanaD
  • 33M. FurtadoD
  • 3Mateu MoreyD
  • 2A. MuminD
  • 10PortuF
Coach: Quique Álvarez
Albacete 4-4-2
  • 1Carlos MarínG
  • 15Fran GámezD
  • 22Lluís LópezD
  • 21Carlos NevaD
  • 4Agus MedinaD
  • 17José CorpasM
  • 6Antonio PachecoM
  • 8Javi VillarM
  • 11Víctor ValverdeM
  • 9Mario SoberónF
  • 19Alex RubioF
Substitutes
  • 34V. VidalD
  • 10RóberF
  • 40Jota DomingoD
  • 27D. BernabeuD
  • 32A. AlbarracínF
  • 33Tomás InglésF
  • 13Diego MariñoG
  • 12Higinio MarínF
  • 18Sergio OrtuM
Coach: Alberto González

Form going into Girona vs Albacete

Girona

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Cadiz19 September 2026
  • L1-2Castellón12 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Sporting Gijon5 September 2026
  • W5-2Las Palmas29 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Cordoba21 August 2026

Albacete

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Cordoba18 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Granada CF12 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Castellón6 September 2026
  • L0-1Oviedo29 August 2026
  • L1-2Real Sociedad II22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Girona scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Girona conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Girona had three goals or more.
  • Albacete did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Albacete conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Girona116322210+1221
22Albacete11119822-144

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Girona vs Albacete

  • 28 March 2021Girona 2–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • 6 December 2020Albacete 0–2 GironaSegunda División
  • 7 March 2020Girona 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • 23 August 2019Albacete 1–0 GironaSegunda División

Leading scorers: Girona and Albacete

Girona

GoalsAssists

  • V. Vanat52
  • Y. Asprilla51

Albacete

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Girona beat Albacete 2–0. The model had made a win for Girona its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Abel Ruíz 6' for Girona, Donny van de Beek 43' for Girona. Sent off: Sergio Ortuno Diaz (Albacete) 90+1'.

How the call on Girona v Albacete has moved

First published on 11 Sep at 63% / 22% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 50% / 28% / 22%: the biggest move is Girona's chance of winning, down 13 points.

  1. Girona win50%▼ −13
  2. Draw28%▲ +6
  3. Albacete win22%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.