Granada CF vs FC Andorra Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Granada CF 2-3 FC Andorra.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Granada CF, 27% draw, 32% FC Andorra — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Granada CF at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Granada CF vs FC Andorra
Line-ups
- 13Raúl LizoainG
- 18Sergio LópezD
- 5Manu LamaD
- 23B. GimberD
- 16Diego PampínD
- 6GumbauM
- 4Rubén AlcarazM
- 10Jorge PascualM
- 7Sergio RodelasF
- 9Alejandro MarquésF
- 11José ArnáizF
- 2Pau CasadesúsD
- 8Pedro AlemañM
- 35B. DembeleF
- 30Juan José Flores CastroD
- 1Alberto FloresG
- 33A. GarciaD
- 3Diego HormigoD
- 27M. GambinM
- 19Chinaza OnouhaF
- 13Pau LópezG
- 5Marc BombardóD
- 23Diego AlendeD
- 3L. SpatzD
- 18Andoni LópezD
- 8E. AkmanM
- 10Marc DomènechM
- 6Hugo SolozábalM
- 17T. CarriqueF
- 19Nacho QuintanaF
- 15Jordi CanoF
- 7Álex CalvoF
- 22D. DiazM
- 27S. GolubovicF
- 29Hugo LópezF
- 14Sergio MolinaM
- 20Martí VilàD
- 21Moró SidibeF
- 2Juan SerranoD
- 12E. SaliF
Form going into Granada CF vs FC Andorra
Granada CF
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Leganes20 September 2026
- D1-1Albacete12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Eibar6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Cordoba30 August 2026
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
FC Andorra
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Sporting Gijon19 September 2026
- L1-3Real Sociedad II12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Valladolid5 September 2026
- L0-1Eibar30 August 2026
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
What these results say
- Granada CF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Granada CF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Granada CF vs FC Andorra
- 15 March 2026Granada CF 1–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 17 October 2025FC Andorra 0–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 28 January 2023Granada CF 2–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 4 September 2022FC Andorra 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
Leading scorers: Granada CF and FC Andorra
Granada CF
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pascual40
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Andorra won 3–2 at Granada CF. The model had leaned towards a win for Granada CF at 41% and given a win for FC Andorra 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jordi Cano 7' for FC Andorra, Marc Doménech Costa 33' for FC Andorra, Manuel Lama Maroto 48' for Granada CF, Jordi Cano 50' for FC Andorra, Mario Jiménez Gambín 78' for Granada CF.
How the call on Granada CF v FC Andorra has moved
First published on 12 Sep at 53% / 25% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 41% / 27% / 32%: the biggest move is Granada CF's chance of winning, down 12 points.
- Granada CF win41%▼ −12
- Draw27%▲ +2
- FC Andorra win32%▲ +10
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.