Tenerife vs Cadiz Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Tenerife 1-1 Cadiz.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Tenerife, 28% draw, 24% Cadiz — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tenerife at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tenerife vs Cadiz
Line-ups
- 1Dani MartínG
- 19César ÁlvarezD
- 12A. LandázuriD
- 4José LeónD
- 2David RodríguezD
- 14Gerard ValentínM
- 15FabricioM
- 6JuanjoM
- 7M. PečarM
- 18Enric GallegoF
- 8VÃctor MorenoF
- 29Daniel FernándezM
- 17C. GomisF
- 3R. JureškinD
- 40Gabriel LozanoG
- 11Noel LópezF
- 21Marc MateuD
- 5Jorge MorenoD
- 20M. PittónM
- 22G. RanosF
- 1David GilG
- 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
- 4Javi CastroD
- 6Manu FernándezD
- 3Sergio ArribasD
- 5M. DouéM
- 18Jandro OrellanaM
- 20Borja VazquezM
- 24Ibon SánchezM
- 16Antonio CorderoM
- 21V. KopotunF
- 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
- 31N. UkwuijeD
- 23Damián RodríguezM
- 25G. PetitF
- 9Álvaro GarcíaF
- 10Javi OntiverosM
- 17A. MoueffekM
- 19Urko IzetaF
- 13Jokin EzkietaG
Form going into Tenerife vs Cadiz
Tenerife
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Castellón19 September 2026
- W2-0Leganes13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Real Sociedad II5 September 2026
- L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
Cadiz
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Girona19 September 2026
- L0-1Las Palmas12 September 2026
- L2-3away to Almeria6 September 2026
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Eldense22 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Tenerife had two goals or fewer.
- Cadiz did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tenerife vs Cadiz
- 1 August 2026Tenerife 2–2 CadizFriendlies Clubs
- 23 March 2025Tenerife 2–1 CadizSegunda División
- 31 August 2024Cadiz 2–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 27 June 2020Cadiz 0–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 17 November 2019Tenerife 1–1 CadizSegunda División
Leading scorers: Tenerife and Cadiz
Tenerife
GoalsAssists
- Enric Gallego70
Cadiz
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Cordero41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tenerife and Cadiz drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Tenerife at 48% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Enric Gallego 25' for Tenerife, Vladyslav Kopotun 74' for Cadiz.
How the call on Tenerife v Cadiz has moved
First published on 12 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Cadiz's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Tenerife win48%▲ +3
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Cadiz win24%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.