Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Gimnasia Mendoza 0-0 Deportivo Riestra.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gimnasia Mendoza, 31% draw, 32% Deportivo Riestra — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia Mendoza at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra
Line-ups
- 23C. RigamontiG
- 32L. ParedesD
- 2D. MondinoD
- 4E. MunozD
- 3M. RecaldeD
- 15U. SanchezM
- 5N. BarbozaM
- 7L. CingolaniM
- 30E. FernandezM
- 33B. AndradaM
- 9A. ModicaF
- 31L. PetruchiG
- 22J. FrancoD
- 42L. CarreraM
- 16G. GuiffreyD
- 36I. CortezD
- 20T. OrtizM
- 19J. CeballosM
- 8M. VargasF
- 27B. ArmoaF
- 1I. ArceG
- 15N. SansotreD
- 24F. MinoD
- 22C. PazD
- 36M. BracamonteD
- 35A. StringaM
- 8M. CelizM
- 14P. MonjeM
- 27J. GoitiaM
- 11A. DiazF
- 29A. GranerosF
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 3E. TovoD
- 5P. RamirezD
- 13R. GalloD
- 17M. AielloD
- 16N. WatsonM
- 31M. SmarraM
- 20T. LauroM
- 18B. PerezM
Form going into Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia Mendoza
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Defensa Y Justicia11 September 2026
- D2-2Boca Juniors5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Independiente30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gimnasia La Plata22 August 2026
- W3-1Talleres Cordoba18 August 2026
Deportivo Riestra
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Lanus14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Platense4 September 2026
- D1-1Velez Sarsfield29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Huracan23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Newell's Old Boys15 August 2026
What these results say
- Gimnasia Mendoza scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gimnasia Mendoza conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gimnasia Mendoza had three goals or more.
- Deportivo Riestra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Deportivo Riestra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Deportivo Riestra had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra
- 12 March 2026Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Gimnasia MendozaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 March 2022Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Gimnasia MendozaPrimera Nacional
- 18 October 2021Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Gimnasia MendozaPrimera Nacional
- 23 June 2021Gimnasia Mendoza 1–1 Deportivo RiestraPrimera Nacional
- 14 December 2020Deportivo Riestra 1–3 Gimnasia MendozaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Gimnasia Mendoza and Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia Mendoza
GoalsAssists
- A. Módica140
Deportivo Riestra
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimnasia Mendoza and Deportivo Riestra drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gimnasia Mendoza at 37% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: I. Charparin (Gimnasia Mendoza) 69'.
How the call on Gimnasia Mendoza v Deportivo Riestra has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Gimnasia Mendoza's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Gimnasia Mendoza win37%▼ −2
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Deportivo Riestra win32%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.