Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 Boca Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Gimnasia Mendoza, 29% draw, 31% Boca Juniors — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia Mendoza at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Mendoza
- W3-0away to Independiente30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gimnasia La Plata22 August 2026
- W3-1Talleres Cordoba18 August 2026
Boca Juniors
- W1-0Lanus29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Racing Club24 August 2026
- D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gimnasia Mendoza and Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica12 goals
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.