San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: San Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% San Lorenzo, 29% draw, 30% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts San Lorenzo at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25J. DevecchiG
- 32E. HerreraD
- 2D. ArboledaD
- 19E. AmorD
- 3T. Rodriguez PaganoD
- 5I. PerruzziM
- 8M. InsaurraldeM
- 24N. TripichioM
- 38F. FariasM
- 9A. CuelloM
- 29R. AuzmendiF
- 20F. AltamiranoG
- 6M. De RitisD
- 42F. LorenzonD
- 30N. AriasD
- 35A. CordobaD
- 62G. AlassiaM
- 39U. OjedaM
- 13J. RattalinoM
- 14A. LadstatterF
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalanD
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 23G. Baez CorradiD
- 5M. A. GalarzaM
- 15J. SforzaM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 19F. CristaldoM
- 37RickM
- 9A. AlvarezF
- 1S. BarbiG
- 44S. FernandezD
- 3A. MaidanaD
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 31B. TreyM
- 25T. BaroniM
- 39L. Ortiz
- 10G. BaroniM
- 49V. DavilaF
Form going into San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto21 August 2026
- W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
- L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
- D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
- L1-3away to Gimnasia Mendoza18 August 2026
- L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for San Lorenzo had two goals or fewer.
- San Lorenzo failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- San Lorenzo failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Talleres Cordoba had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
San Lorenzo beat Talleres Cordoba 1–0. The model had made a win for San Lorenzo its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Cuello 63' for San Lorenzo. Sent off: Matias Galarza (Talleres Cordoba) 58'. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.14.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.