Gimnasia La Plata vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Gimnasia La Plata, 30% draw, 30% Tigre — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia La Plata at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gimnasia La Plata vs Tigre
Gimnasia La Plata
- W2-1away to Rosario Central29 August 2026
- L2-3Gimnasia Mendoza22 August 2026
- L0-4away to Estudiantes La Plata15 August 2026
- W2-0Barracas Central9 August 2026
- W2-1away to Aldosivi2 August 2026
Tigre
- D0-0Barracas Central1 September 2026
- W2-1Central Cordoba de Santiago24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Aldosivi15 August 2026
- W1-0River Plate8 August 2026
- D0-0Belgrano Cordoba6 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Leading scorers: Gimnasia La Plata and Tigre
Gimnasia La Plata
- M. Torres8 goals1 assists
Tigre
- I. Russo7 goals3 assists
- D. Romero7 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.