Degerfors IF
vs
Halmstad
Allsvenskan prediction
The model makes it 59% Degerfors IF, 25% draw, 16% Halmstad — fair odds of 1.69, 4.00 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Degerfors IF 1.71, Halmstad 0.75.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Degerfors IF
- W3-0IFK Goteborg16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF9 August 2026
- L0-2away to IFK Goteborg2 August 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
- L0-4away to Hammarby FF19 July 2026
Halmstad
- L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026
- L0-2Gais9 August 2026
- L0-2Sirius3 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gais26 July 2026
- L0-2BK Hacken19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 16 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad
- 12 April 2026Halmstad 0–3 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 20 October 2025Degerfors IF 0–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 30 March 2025Halmstad 0–5 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 7 October 2023Halmstad 0–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 8 April 2023Degerfors IF 3–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 16 October 2021Degerfors IF 2–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
The two sides
Degerfors IF carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.11 for Halmstad. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Degerfors IF L-L-L-W-W; Halmstad L-D-L-L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.71 goals for Degerfors IF and 0.75 for Halmstad. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Degerfors IF rate 0.51 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Halmstad rate 0.39 and 1.77.
That points to 45% for over two and a half goals and 44% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Degerfors IF the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Degerfors IF against 0.75 for Halmstad. Degerfors IF's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.39/1.77 for Halmstad.