5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Aldosivi vs Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Mar del Plata
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Aldosivi 3-1 Banfield.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Aldosivi, 26% draw, 28% Banfield — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Aldosivi at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Juan Bautista Dadín
21'
27'
Nicolás Meriano
33'
Tomas Adoryan
⚽R. Malanca (OG)
34'
Felipe Anso
37'
⚽A. Vombergarassist: M. Garcia
42'
🔁B. Dadinout: T. Fernandez
46'
46'
🔁N. Merianoout: L. Gomez
47'
•Tomas Adoryan
51'
⚽M. Hernandez (pen)
⚽A. Vombergarassist: T. Fernandez
52'
60'
🔁N. Paisout: S. Esquivel
60'
🔁T. Adoryanout: D. Zalazar
60'
🔁L. Pineroout: F. Medina
Mateo Vales
66'
68'
Lautaro Cano
70'
🔁M. Hernandezout: F. Anselmo
🔁F. Ansoout: N. Zalazar
74'
76'
David Zalazar
🔁N. Gaitanout: R. Gonzalez
82'
🔁A. Vombergarout: A. Chavez
84'
🔁L. Castroout: F. Perruzzi
85'
Rodrigo González
87'

Match stats — Aldosivi vs Banfield

51%Possession49%
20Shots13
9On target3
8Corners3
0.93xG1.72

Goals against chances

Aldosivi3 from 0.93 xGmore than the chances were worth
Banfield1 from 1.72 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Aldosivi 4-2-3-1
  • 42L. AcostaG
  • 14E. LopezD
  • 25N. BreitenbruchD
  • 32J. PomboD
  • 38M. ValesD
  • 8M. GarciaM
  • 16B. DadinM
  • 10N. GaitanM
  • 19L. CastroM
  • 24F. AnsoM
  • 29A. VombergarF
Substitutes
  • 23I. ChiccoG
  • 28S. MoyaD
  • 33N. ZalazarD
  • 4R. GonzalezD
  • 15F. PerruzziM
  • 37P. ArgoytiaM
  • 18A. ChavezF
  • 21M. GodoyM
  • 27T. FernandezF
Coach: Israel Damonte
Banfield 4-4-2
  • 50D. RodriguezG
  • 24S. LopezD
  • 37R. MalancaD
  • 6N. MerianoD
  • 19L. CanoD
  • 20T. AdoryanM
  • 13B. OviedoM
  • 35N. PaisM
  • 7L. PineroM
  • 28M. HernandezF
  • 22A. MachadoF
Substitutes
  • 25G. SantilliG
  • 2S. DanieleD
  • 27I. AbrahamD
  • 4J. L. AlfaroD
  • 21L. VillegasM
  • 5S. EsquivelM
  • 70M. ArteagaM
  • 10L. GomezM
  • 11F. AlvarezM
Coach: Pedro Troglio

Form going into Aldosivi vs Banfield

Aldosivi

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors30 August 2026
  • L1-3Union Santa Fe21 August 2026
  • D0-0Tigre15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Rosario Central7 August 2026
  • L1-2Gimnasia La Plata2 August 2026

Banfield

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3River Plate30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Newell's Old Boys23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Racing Club14 August 2026
  • L0-2Belgrano Cordoba10 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Aldosivi did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Aldosivi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Aldosivi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Banfield failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Aldosivi143291522-711
11Banfield143561520-514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Aldosivi beat Banfield 3–1. The model had made a win for Aldosivi its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Malanca (own goal) 34' for Aldosivi, A. Vombergar 42' for Aldosivi, M. Hernandez (penalty) 51' for Banfield, A. Vombergar 52' for Aldosivi. On expected goals it finished 0.93–1.72.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.