Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved NB I prediction & result
Final score: Puskas Academy 3-1 Budapest Honved.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Puskas Academy, 30% draw, 34% Budapest Honved — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puskas Academy at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved
Line-ups
- 72B. LehoczkiG
- 96R. OrjánD
- 14W. GollaD
- 21G. HarutyunyanD
- 33B. Ormonde-OttewillD
- 10P. DárdaiM
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 74M. KernM
- 25Z. NagyM
- 90A. NémethF
- 8D. LukacsF
- 9L. ColleyF
- 88B. FarkasD
- 1T. MarkekG
- 18B. VekonyM
- 68Daniel BruggerM
- 66Z. VargaM
- 42Z. KrupaM
- 61M. BozoG
- 77K. MondovicsF
- 31O. HadžikićG
- 72K. KallaiD
- 44Á. BakiD
- 52D. BoldorD
- 11S. HangyaD
- 5D. CsontosM
- 8T. SomogyiM
- 30T. SomogyiM
- 40Adam SzamosiM
- 80R. EddarrajM
- 19A. AlićF
- 15Bonifac CsonkaD
- 1G. DúzsG
- 49B. PauljevićD
- 33O. SafronovD
- 4A. SzabóD
- 83T. TujvelG
- 7A. ZuigeberF
- 20P. GarciaM
- 3P. GarciaD
Form going into Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved
Puskas Academy
NB I
- L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
Budapest Honved
NB I
- L2-3away to Gyori ETO FC6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved
- 27 May 2023Puskas Academy 2–1 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 5 March 2023Budapest Honved 3–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 15 October 2022Puskas Academy 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 15 May 2022Puskas Academy 1–2 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 26 February 2022Budapest Honved 0–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh42
- P. Dárdai32
Budapest Honved
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Puskas Academy beat Budapest Honved 3–1. The model had made a win for Puskas Academy its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: András Németh 16' for Puskas Academy, Roland Orjan 24' for Puskas Academy, Kevin Kállai 38' for Budapest Honved, Palkó Dárdai 66' for Puskas Academy.
How the call on Puskas Academy v Budapest Honved has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 31% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Budapest Honved's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Puskas Academy win36%▼ −6
- Draw30%▼ −1
- Budapest Honved win34%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.