Genk
vs
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League prediction
The model makes it 73% Genk, 17% draw, 10% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Genk 2.50, SK Beveren 0.85.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Genk
- L1-2away to Zulte Waregem9 August 2026
SK Beveren
- L1-2away to Antwerp9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | SK Beveren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Genk vs SK Beveren
- 8 July 2026Genk 2–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 30 October 2024SK Beveren 0–2 GenkCup
- 27 December 2020Genk 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 3 October 2020SK Beveren 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 14 December 2019Genk 4–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
The two sides
Genk carry a model rating of 6.9 against 6.5 for SK Beveren. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Genk L; SK Beveren L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.50 goals for Genk and 0.85 for SK Beveren. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Genk rate 0.93 in attack and 0.86 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SK Beveren rate 0.71 and 1.42.
That points to 65% for over two and a half goals and 53% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 334 correct results out of 699 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Genk the highest probability at 73%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.5 expected goals for Genk against 0.85 for SK Beveren. Genk's attack/defence rating is 0.93/0.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.42 for SK Beveren.