FC Voluntari vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Voluntari 2-2 Oțelul.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC Voluntari, 26% draw, 31% Oțelul — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Voluntari at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Voluntari vs Oțelul
Line-ups
- 31Metod JurharG
- 23Matej MamićD
- 27Radu CrişanD
- 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
- 30Alexandru ȘuteuD
- 19Marvin SchiebM
- 5Denis HaruțM
- 44Mihael OnișaM
- 11Remus GuțeaM
- 8Ion GheorgheF
- 9Matko BabićF
- 90Mihai Roman IIF
- 14Eduard ChioveanuG
- 25David KikiD
- 7Daniel TomaM
- 22Nuno RodriguesM
- 40Lovro CvekM
- 10Cristian MerloiF
- 21Robert PetculescuF
- 28Mario ȘtefanM
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 2Milen ZhelevD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 8João LameiraM
- 30Matei FrunzăM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 10AndrézinhoM
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 24Denis BordunM
- 15Cristian NeicuF
- 12Darius PaharnicuG
- 13Mario ContraG
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 20Robert OlteanuM
- 18Dragoș AfteneM
- 77Alexandru BălănicăF
Form going into FC Voluntari vs Oțelul
FC Voluntari
- L1-3away to Universitatea Craiova23 August 2026
- L1-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 August 2026
- L0-4away to Dinamo Bucuresti8 August 2026
- W1-0Uta Arad1 August 2026
- L0-5away to CFR 1907 Cluj27 July 2026
Oțelul
- W1-0Arges Pitesti24 August 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti7 August 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti31 July 2026
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Voluntari failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Voluntari had three goals or more.
- Oțelul failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 14 | Oțelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Oțelul
- 13 April 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
- 22 January 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
- 25 August 2023Oțelul 2–2 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Oțelul
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea40
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.