Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest NB I prediction & result
Final score: Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Debreceni VSC, 31% draw, 28% MTK Budapest — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Debreceni VSC at 41% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest
Line-ups
- 1P. AndreevG
- 23G. TerczaD
- 4J. MejiasD
- 2D. SzakalD
- 3A. GuerreroD
- 75D. PataiM
- 97C. DenesM
- 10B. DzsudzsakM
- 6B. BoskovicM
- 99F. CiblaM
- 11A. Szendrei
- 89D. PoserG
- 12B. ErdelyiG
- 49V. KulbachukD
- 72R. KellerD
- 20M. MacsoM
- 18S. KayeF
- 24I. EgriF
- 8L. MyrtajM
- 78C. Sain BalaszM
- 1P. DemjenG
- 2B. VarjuD
- 26V. ArmalasD
- 4I. BeriashviliD
- 13M. TimoteusD
- 17K. HinoraM
- 6M. KataM
- 11G. JurekM
- 10I. BognarM
- 77G. KomaromiM
- 20Z. KerezsiF
- 24T. FadgyasG
- 40M. Pikacs
- 47G. CsokaD
- 5D. HorvathD
- 8A. G. ZuborM
- 29S. SzuhodovszkiM
- 45D. VargaM
- 7D. ZsoriF
- 48M. VasM
Form going into Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
- D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
MTK Budapest
- W2-1Nyiregyhaza22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Debreceni VSC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest
- 27 February 2026Debreceni VSC 2–2 MTK BudapestNB I
- 9 November 2025MTK Budapest 3–0 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 1 August 2025Debreceni VSC 1–0 MTK BudapestNB I
- 3 May 2025Debreceni VSC 0–0 MTK BudapestNB I
- 7 February 2025MTK Budapest 0–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 28 September 2024Debreceni VSC 2–3 MTK BudapestNB I
Leading scorers: Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
GoalsAssists
- Á. Szendrei42
- B. Dzsudzsák40
MTK Budapest
GoalsAssists
- G. Jurek51
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi43
- I. Bognár22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.