Akron vs CSKA Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Akron 2-2 CSKA Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% Akron, 27% draw, 52% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 4.76, 3.70 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA Moscow at 52% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Akron vs CSKA Moscow
Line-ups
- 88Vitali GudievG
- 2Yomar RochaD
- 13Vyacheslav BardybakhinD
- 26Joao EscovalD
- 3Paulo VitorD
- 89Denis PopenkovD
- 11DuduM
- 15Stefan LončarM
- 8Kristijan BistrovićM
- 22Konstantin MaradishviliM
- 7Gilson TavaresF
- 32Ignat TerekhovskiyG
- 98Roman VolochayG
- 47Egor VedernikovD
- 72Marat KhametovD
- 80Khetag KhosonovM
- 81Nikita BazilevskiyM
- 67Nikita PlatonM
- 69Arseniy DmitrievF
- 39Nazar MakeevF
- 49Vladislav ToropG
- 22Milan GajićD
- 4João VictorD
- 79Kirill DanilovD
- 3Danil KrugovoyD
- 10Ivan OblyakovM
- 31Matvey KislyakM
- 20Matija PopovićM
- 7Matheus AlvesM
- 17Kirill GlebovM
- 32Luciano GondouF
- 18Danila KozlovM
- 37Henrique CarmoM
- 85Egor BesaevG
- 39Maksim BoriskoG
- 23Dzhamalutdin AbdulkadyrovD
- 90Matvey LukinD
- 2Matheus ReisD
- 84Aleksandr VakulichM
- 87Artem PonomarchukM
Form going into Akron vs CSKA Moscow
Akron
- L0-3Krylia Sovetov23 August 2026
CSKA Moscow
- W3-2Lokomotiv22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Akron | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Akron vs CSKA Moscow
- 18 August 2026CSKA Moscow 0–1 AkronCup
- 4 April 2026Akron 1–2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 22 January 2026Akron 1–3 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
- 21 October 2025CSKA Moscow 3–2 AkronCup
- 24 August 2025CSKA Moscow 3–1 AkronPremier League
- 12 August 2025Akron 1–1 CSKA MoscowCup
Leading scorers: Akron and CSKA Moscow
Akron
- Gilson Benchimol4 goals2 assists
CSKA Moscow
- I. Oblyakov4 goals
- I. Oleynikov3 goals3 assists
- L. Gondou3 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.