Akron
vs
CSKA Moscow
Premier League prediction
The model makes it 7% Akron, 11% draw, 82% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 14.29, 9.09 and 1.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-3 (9%).
Expected goals: Akron 0.93, CSKA Moscow 3.28.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%, under 2.5: 21%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Akron
- D0-0away to Lokomotiv8 August 2026
- L1-2Rubin1 August 2026
- L0-5Zenit25 July 2026
CSKA Moscow
- D0-0FC Rostov8 August 2026
- D1-1Krylia Sovetov1 August 2026
- W2-1Baltika24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Akron | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Akron vs CSKA Moscow
- 4 April 2026Akron 1–2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 22 January 2026Akron 1–3 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
- 21 October 2025CSKA Moscow 3–2 AkronCup
- 24 August 2025CSKA Moscow 3–1 AkronPremier League
- 12 August 2025Akron 1–1 CSKA MoscowCup
- 16 March 2025Akron 1–2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
A clear gap in the ratings
Akron carry a model rating of 5.69 against 6.48 for CSKA Moscow. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Akron L-L-D; CSKA Moscow W-D-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 0.93 goals for Akron and 3.28 for CSKA Moscow. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Akron rate 0.30 in attack and 3.04 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CSKA Moscow rate 0.77 and 1.64.
That points to 79% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-3 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 334 correct results out of 699 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CSKA Moscow the highest probability at 82%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.93 expected goals for Akron against 3.28 for CSKA Moscow. Akron's attack/defence rating is 0.3/3.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.64 for CSKA Moscow.