15 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Plzen vs Zlin Czech Liga prediction & result

Doosan Arena, Plzen
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Plzen 3-2 Zlin.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Plzen, 21% draw, 12% Zlin — fair odds of 1.49, 4.76 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Plzen at 67%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽O. Kukucka (OG)
6'
13'
⚽S. Petrutaassist: F. Appiah
⚽C. Kabongo (pen)
42'
52'
Cletus Nombil
⚽P. Aduassist: A. Memic
56'
Merchas Doski
61'
🔁C. Souareout: A. Sojka
62'
🔁C. Kabongoout: D. Visinsky
62'
62'
🔁S. Petrutaout: M. Cupak
62'
🔁D. Grygeraout: A. Gazi
Alexandr Sojka
77'
🔁T. Ladraout: J. Panos
78'
🔁P. Aduout: S. Lawal
78'
78'
🔁J. Kolarout: T. Hellebrand
78'
🔁D. Smigaout: S. Kanu
81'
🔁C. Nombilout: P. Mbatshi
83'
⚽F. Appiah
84'
•Frank Appiah 
🔁P. Hrosovskyout: S. Pirgic
90+3'

Match stats — Plzen vs Zlin

62%Possession38%
15Shots11
6On target5
6Corners3
2.22xG1.06

Goals against chances

Plzen3 from 2.22 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zlin2 from 1.06 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Plzen 4-1-4-1
  • 44F. WiegeleG
  • 99A. MemicD
  • 40S. DwehD
  • 5K. SpacilD
  • 14M. DoskiD
  • 6L. CervM
  • 19C. SouareM
  • 17P. HrosovskyM
  • 18T. LadraM
  • 25C. KabongoM
  • 80P. AduF
Substitutes
  • 13M. TvrdonG
  • 1D. TapajG
  • 12A. SojkaM
  • 9D. VisinskyM
  • 98F. PrebslD
  • 20J. PanosM
  • 66S. BohacM
  • 36S. PirgicF
  • 7S. LawalF
Coach: Martin Hysky
Zlin 5-4-1
  • 17S. DostalG
  • 23M. KopecnyD
  • 24J. CerninD
  • 28J. KolarD
  • 35O. KukuckaD
  • 22M. FukalaD
  • 20F. AppiahM
  • 19C. NombilM
  • 10S. PetrutaM
  • 21D. GrygeraM
  • 9D. SmigaF
Substitutes
  • 34M. KnoblochG
  • 31L. BartosakD
  • 39A. KrapkaD
  • 82M. Pisoja
  • 45P. MbatshiD
  • 26M. CupakM
  • 53T. HellebrandM
  • 88T. PoznarF
  • 11A. GaziM
Coach: Bronislav Cervenka

Form going into Plzen vs Zlin

Plzen

All competitions we cover

  • D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
  • D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
  • L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026

Zlin

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
  • L0-1Baník Ostrava25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Plzen145542922+720
16Zlin1403111127-163

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Plzen vs Zlin

  • 1 March 2026Zlin 3–0 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 28 September 2025Plzen 0–1 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 27 February 2025Plzen 4–1 ZlinCup
  • 24 April 2024Plzen 3–0 ZlinCup
  • 24 February 2024Plzen 3–0 ZlinCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Plzen and Zlin

Plzen

GoalsAssists

  • C. Kabongo50
  • A. Memić46

Zlin

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Plzen beat Zlin 3–2. The model had made a win for Plzen its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: O. Kukucka (own goal) 6' for Plzen, S. Petruta 13' for Zlin, C. Kabongo (penalty) 42' for Plzen, P. Adu 56' for Plzen, F. Appiah 83' for Zlin. On expected goals it finished 2.22–1.06.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.