10 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result

Surdulica City Stadium, Surdulica
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 48% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radnik Surdulica3%Draw91%FK Crvena Zvezda6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Darko Stojanović
28'
37'
Mohammad Abu Fani
60'
🔁Loizos Loizouout: Osman Bukari
60'
🔁Kristiyan Balovout: stefan gudelj
60'
🔁Derrick Luckassenout: Kim Ye-geon
🔁Aleksandar Pejovićout: Miloš Popović
60'
Ryonosuke Ohori
61'
🔁Martin Djangarovskiout: Ryonosuke Ohori
61'
69'
🔁Mohammad Abu Faniout: Bamba Dieng
🔁Vukasin Bogdanovicout: Luka Žorić
71'
🔁Darko Stojanovićout: Djordje Jovanovic
79'
79'
🔁Kim Ye-geonout: Vladimir Lucic
🔁Uros Filipovicout: Uroš Ilić
80'

Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda

23%Possession77%
6Shots19
2On target4
1Corners6

Line-ups

Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
  • 23Lazar RadojicicG
  • 22U. LazićD
  • 37S. AbubakarD
  • 6David StojanovićD
  • 21U. FilipovicD
  • 30M. NovakovićM
  • 28A. PejovićM
  • 47Emmanuel QuarshieM
  • 7D. StojanovićM
  • 55M. DzangarovskiM
  • 9V. BogdanovićF
Substitutes
  • 3Luka ŽorićD
  • 1F. SamurovićG
  • 5M. PopovićM
  • 10Ryonosuke OhoriM
  • 49D. MarkočevićF
  • 25Teo LakićF
  • 88Đ. JovanovićF
  • 14Uroš IlićD
  • 2Tijan SohnaD
Coach: Zoran Rendulic
FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 3Y. NakayamaD
  • 13M. VeljkovićD
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 21T. ElšnikM
  • 20Tomás HändelM
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 60M. GashtarovM
  • 8K. BalovM
  • 10A. KataiF
Substitutes
  • 14O. BukariF
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 70M. ChamM
  • 9B. DiengF
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 4M. IvanićM
  • 19Kim Ye-geonM
  • 37V. LučićM
  • 27M. StrikaD
Coach: Riera

Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Radnik Surdulica

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Cukaricki5 September 2026
  • L1-5away to Železničar Pančevo29 August 2026
  • W1-0Novi Pazar23 August 2026
  • W2-1Macva15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Plzen27 August 2026
  • W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
  • W3-0Plzen20 August 2026

What these results say

  • Radnik Surdulica scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Radnik Surdulica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Radnik Surdulica had three goals or more.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FK Crvena Zvezda had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Radnik Surdulica134541717017
1FK Crvena Zvezda131210334+2937

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda

  • 17 May 2026Radnik Surdulica 0–0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 5 April 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 2 November 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 7 April 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 4 November 2023FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 13 November 2022Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda

Radnik Surdulica

GoalsAssists

  • V. Bogdanović60
  • M. Novaković32

FK Crvena Zvezda

GoalsAssists

  • V. Kostov42
  • A. Katai34
  • M. Abu Fani32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Crvena Zvezda at 48% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

How the call on Radnik Surdulica v FK Crvena Zvezda has moved

First published on 4 Sep at 28% / 27% / 45% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 25% / 27% / 48%: the biggest move is Radnik Surdulica's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Radnik Surdulica win25%▼ −3
  2. Draw27%=
  3. FK Crvena Zvezda win48%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.