Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 48% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Line-ups
- 23Lazar RadojicicG
- 22U. LazićD
- 37S. AbubakarD
- 6David StojanovićD
- 21U. FilipovicD
- 30M. NovakovićM
- 28A. PejovićM
- 47Emmanuel QuarshieM
- 7D. StojanovićM
- 55M. DzangarovskiM
- 9V. BogdanovićF
- 3Luka ŽorićD
- 1F. SamurovićG
- 5M. PopovićM
- 10Ryonosuke OhoriM
- 49D. MarkočevićF
- 25Teo LakićF
- 88Đ. JovanovićF
- 14Uroš IlićD
- 2Tijan SohnaD
- 1MatheusG
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 13M. VeljkovićD
- 32D. LuckassenD
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 20Tomás HändelM
- 15M. Abu FaniM
- 75L. LoizouM
- 60M. GashtarovM
- 8K. BalovM
- 10A. KataiF
- 14O. BukariF
- 30F. Tebo UchennaD
- 70M. ChamM
- 9B. DiengF
- 45S. GudeljD
- 4M. IvanićM
- 19Kim Ye-geonM
- 37V. LučićM
- 27M. StrikaD
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
- W3-1Cukaricki5 September 2026
- L1-5away to Železničar Pančevo29 August 2026
- W1-0Novi Pazar23 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
- W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Radnik Surdulica | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 17 May 2026Radnik Surdulica 0–0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 5 April 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 2 November 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 7 April 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 4 November 2023FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 13 November 2022Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
- V. Bogdanović3 goals
- M. Novaković2 goals1 assists
FK Crvena Zvezda
- V. Kostov4 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.