Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 Meshakhte.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Dinamo Tbilisi, 26% draw, 24% Meshakhte — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte
Line-ups
- 20L. FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdicD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 13M. PourzitidisD
- 22N. NinuaM
- 23J. KankavaM
- 8WeltonM
- 6Leo SantosD
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 14M. Do CoutoF
- 37M. MakatsariaG
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 10G. KharaishviliM
- 26G. GoguaM
- 30G. Lomidze
- 32L. TsikoliaM
- 33L. HouriM
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 39K. KakashviliM
- 29L. ShovnadzeG
- 26B. GabiskiriaD
- 31Eric PimentelD
- 38I. ZotkoD
- 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
- 13G. BurduliD
- 18T. PatsatsiaM
- 27G. KantariaM
- 7E. JijavadzeM
- 30M. PyrogovM
- 9I. SikharulidzeF
- 1L. TkeshelashviliG
- 8G. JamarauliM
- 10G. GogolashviliF
- 11M. KvirkviaF
- 16G. GegiaD
- 20L. KurdadzeD
- 22T. SikaloM
- 23B. ShubitidzeM
- 24S. Chkhetiani
Form going into Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Torpedo Kutaisi6 September 2026
- W2-1Dila31 August 2026
- L2-7away to FK Zalgiris Vilnius30 July 2026
- W3-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius23 July 2026
Meshakhte
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Spaeri5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Tbilisi scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dinamo Tbilisi had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 32 | +18 | 54 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Dinamo Tbilisi and Meshakhte
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Meshakhte
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Tbilisi and Meshakhte drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Tbilisi at 50% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze (Dinamo Tbilisi) 68'.
How the call on Dinamo Tbilisi v Meshakhte has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Dinamo Tbilisi's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Dinamo Tbilisi win50%▲ +9
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Meshakhte win24%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.