20 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

Fulham vs Manchester United Premier League prediction & result

Craven Cottage, London
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Fulham, 27% draw, 39% Manchester United — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Manchester United at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Josh King
45'
Timothy Castagne
50'
⚽Lisandro Martínez (OG)
63'
🔁Oscar Bobbout: Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
71'
🔁Alex Iwobiout: Cesar Palacios Perez
71'
🔁Sander Bergeout: Hugo Larsson
77'
77'
🔁Marcus Rashfordout: Joshua Zirkzee
🔁Gonzalo Garcíaout: Rodrigo Muniz
80'
🔁Josh Kingout: Joachim Andersen
80'
80'
🔁Kobbie Mainooout: Mason Mount
84'
🔁Luke Shawout: Patrick Dorgu
Rodrigo Muniz
85'
89'
⚽Matheus Cunhaassist: Patrick Dorgu

Match stats — Fulham vs Manchester United

43%Possession57%
12Shots29
6On target6
3Corners13

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. LenoG
  • 21T. CastagneD
  • 22D. AffengruberD
  • 3C. BasseyD
  • 33A. RobinsonD
  • 16S. BergeM
  • 19S. CharlesM
  • 14Oscar BobbM
  • 24Joshua KingM
  • 17A. IwobiM
  • 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 32E. Smith RoweM
  • 30R. SessegnonM
  • 11KevinF
  • 8César PalaciosM
  • 9Rodrigo MunizF
  • 20Manuel ÁngelM
  • 23B. LecomteG
  • 15H. LarssonM
  • 5J. AndersenD
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Manchester United 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. LammensG
  • 2Diogo DalotD
  • 5H. MaguireD
  • 6Lisandro MartínezD
  • 23L. ShawD
  • 37K. MainooM
  • 18Y. TielemansM
  • 19B. MbeumoM
  • 8Bruno FernandesM
  • 9M. RashfordM
  • 10Matheus CunhaF
Substitutes
  • 11J. ZirkzeeF
  • 20C. BalebaM
  • 12K. DarlowG
  • 13P. DorguD
  • 31S. LaceyF
  • 3N. MazraouiD
  • 7M. MountM
  • 17Andrey SantosM
  • 15L. YoroD
Coach: M. Carrick

Form going into Fulham vs Manchester United

Fulham

Premier League

  • D0-0away to Liverpool12 September 2026

Manchester United

Premier League

  • L0-1Manchester City13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Fulham8224810-28
16Manchester United81431013-37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fulham vs Manchester United

  • 1 February 2026Manchester United 3–2 FulhamPremier League
  • 24 August 2025Fulham 1–1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
  • 2 March 2025Manchester United 1–1 FulhamFA Cup
  • 26 January 2025Fulham 0–1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
  • 16 August 2024Manchester United 1–0 FulhamPremier League

The full Fulham vs Manchester United record →

Leading scorers: Fulham and Manchester United

Fulham

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Manchester United

GoalsAssists

  • B. Mbeumo40
  • Bruno Fernandes31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fulham and Manchester United drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Manchester United at 39% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Lisandro Martínez (own goal) 63' for Fulham, Matheus Cunha 89' for Manchester United.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.