Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 3 · 1 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Racing Club vs Tigre

Avellaneda

The model makes it 59% Racing Club, 24% draw, 17% Tigre — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Racing Club 1.76, Tigre 0.81.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

47%
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 13%2-0 12%1-1 11%

Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Tigre

  • 2 February 2026Tigre 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 December 2025Racing Club 0–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 August 2025Racing Club 1–2 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 February 2025Tigre 1–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 May 2024Tigre 0–4 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 31 January 2024Racing Club 3–0 TigreCopa de la Liga Profesional
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Racing Club the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Racing Club against 0.81 for Tigre. Racing Club's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.15 for Tigre.