16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Lahti vs KuPS Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Lahti 1-2 KuPS.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Lahti, 41% draw, 34% KuPS — fair odds of 4.00, 2.44 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

the draw at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lahti0%Draw2%KuPS98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽O. Koskinenassist: M. Sarr
2'
11'
⚽T. Jyryassist: B. Armah
17'
⚽J. Luyeye-Lutumbaassist: B. Armah
José Müller
51'
66'
🔁B. Armahout: S. Touray
66'
🔁C. Antwiout: G. Engvall
🔁J. Mullerout: V. Vehkonen
69'
🔁O. Koskinenout: D. Heikkinen
69'
🔁Martim Augustoout: A. Belabid
69'
70'
🔁T. Jyryout: P. Pennanen
70'
🔁P. Parzyszekout: J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
72'
Valentín Gasc
Romain Sans
81'
🔁Neemiasout: A. Lindholm
81'
🔁R. Yapiout: J. Ojanen
81'
87'
🔁S. Heiskanenout: B. Magassa
Yohan Cassubie
89'

Line-ups

Lahti 4-3-3
  • 12A. HakalaG
  • 27R. YapiD
  • 5N. Gianini DantasD
  • 4J. MullerD
  • 3R. SansD
  • 8C. MontielM
  • 18Y. CassubieM
  • 10O. KoskinenM
  • 77M. SarrF
  • 19NeemiasF
  • 11Martim AugustoF
Substitutes
  • 31O. MaukonenG
  • 6V. VehkonenD
  • 25T. InkinenD
  • 14E. AnderssonM
  • 9A. LindholmF
  • 28A. KabashiM
  • 7D. HeikkinenM
  • 20J. OjanenM
  • 17A. BelabidF
Coach: Goncalo Pereira
KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. KreidlG
  • 6S. SavolainenD
  • 23A. LotjonenD
  • 33T. HamalainenD
  • 25C. AntwiD
  • 10V. R. GascM
  • 3S. HeiskanenM
  • 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 16T. JyryM
  • 24B. ArmahD
  • 20P. ParzyszekF
Substitutes
  • 12H. RiihimakiG
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 28B. MagassaD
  • 17A. HeinonenM
  • 22S. TourayM
  • 8P. PennanenM
  • 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
  • 19C. KabuyeF
  • 9G. EngvallF
Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Form going into Lahti vs KuPS

Lahti

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Inter Turku9 August 2026

KuPS

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Universitatea Craiova13 August 2026
  • D1-1Turku PS9 August 2026
  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
  • L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

What these results say

  • KuPS did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • KuPS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for KuPS had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Lahti vs KuPS

  • 23 May 2026KuPS 2–1 LahtiFinnish Premier League
  • 21 July 2024KuPS 1–0 LahtiFinnish Premier League
  • 27 April 2024Lahti 0–1 KuPSFinnish Premier League
  • 16 March 2024Lahti 0–2 KuPSLeague Cup
  • 1 July 2023Lahti 3–4 KuPSFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: Lahti and KuPS

Lahti

GoalsAssists

  • Martim Ferreira51
  • O. Koskinen32

KuPS

GoalsAssists

  • J. Moreno71
  • B. Armah40
  • P. Pennanen33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

KuPS won 2–1 at Lahti. The model had leaned towards a draw at 41% and given a win for KuPS 34%. The goals: O. Koskinen 2' for Lahti, T. Jyry 11' for KuPS, J. Luyeye-Lutumba 17' for KuPS.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.