15 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur Eredivisie prediction & result

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Fortuna Sittard 3-1 Cambuur.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Fortuna Sittard, 17% draw, 12% Cambuur — fair odds of 1.41, 5.88 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fortuna Sittard at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fortuna Sittard97%Draw3%Cambuur0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Brittijnassist: M. Ihattaren
6'
⚽L. Zeefuikassist: J. Dahlhaus
15'
22'
⚽R. El Arguiouiassist: N. Souren
🔁S. Wylinout: E. Michut
46'
46'
🔁M. Costarelliout: W. Kooistra
50'
Lucas Jetten
64'
Nicky Souren
🔁J. Dahlhausout: N. de Groot
72'
🔁M. Ihattarenout: S. Zand
72'
🔁O. Romenyout: A. Descotte
72'
76'
🔁I. Henstraout: F. Kvam
76'
🔁S. Vinkout: N. Binder
82'
🔁J. Amofaout: W. van der Goot
88'
🔁I. Hamacheout: R. Mulders
🔁L. Zeefuikout: M. Gbemou
90'
⚽S. Zandassist: I. Pinto
90'

Match stats — Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

36%Possession64%
17Shots19
7On target7
6Corners7
1.35xG2.53

Goals against chances

Fortuna Sittard3 from 1.35 xGmore than the chances were worth
Cambuur1 from 2.53 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1
  • 31M. BranderhorstG
  • 12I. PintoD
  • 6S. van OtteleD
  • 28J. HubnerD
  • 2S. WylinM
  • 23P. BrittijnM
  • 5Y. OukiliM
  • 8J. DahlhausM
  • 52M. IhattarenF
  • 10O. RomenyF
  • 25L. ZeefuikF
Substitutes
  • 33KaylenG
  • 1L. KoopmansG
  • 15N. de GrootD
  • 35K. van BurgstedenM
  • 20E. MichutM
  • 22S. ZandM
  • 38M. GbemouM
  • 39G. BuyukhanM
  • 9A. DescotteF
Coach: Danny Buijs
Cambuur 4-3-3
  • 1T. JansenG
  • 28M. CostarelliD
  • 4I. BaoufD
  • 6J. AmofaD
  • 23L. JettenD
  • 10R. El ArguiouiM
  • 9S. VinkM
  • 8N. SourenM
  • 29I. HenstraF
  • 7S. BouhoudaneF
  • 11I. HamacheF
Substitutes
  • 21J. MeijsterG
  • 24M. Kalisvaart
  • 14R. van de PavertM
  • 33B. VogelzangD
  • 16R. MuldersD
  • 3J. BerkhoutD
  • 15F. KvamF
  • 18W. van der HeideM
  • 17E. ApkakouM
Coach: Johan Plat

Form going into Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to PSV Eindhoven8 August 2026

Cambuur

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4Excelsior7 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Fortuna Sittard125522020020
10Cambuur124352527-215

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

  • 29 January 2023Cambuur 1–2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • 20 August 2022Fortuna Sittard 1–4 CambuurEredivisie
  • 26 February 2022Cambuur 2–1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • 16 October 2021Fortuna Sittard 1–0 CambuurEredivisie
  • 19 December 2018Fortuna Sittard 2–1 CambuurKNVB Beker

The full Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur record →

Leading scorers: Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur

Fortuna Sittard

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Cambuur

GoalsAssists

  • R. El Arguioui62
  • I. Hamache53
  • N. Binder52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fortuna Sittard beat Cambuur 3–1. The model had made a win for Fortuna Sittard its most likely outcome, at 71%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: P. Brittijn 6' for Fortuna Sittard, L. Zeefuik 15' for Fortuna Sittard, R. El Arguioui 22' for Cambuur, S. Zand 90' for Fortuna Sittard. On expected goals it finished 1.35–2.53.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.