Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Widzew Łódź 1-2 Korona Kielce.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Widzew Łódź, 28% draw, 21% Korona Kielce — fair odds of 1.96, 3.57 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Widzew Łódź at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. Dragowski
- 70J. Gazibegovic
- 25P. Wisniewski
- 3S. Kapuadi
- 40M. Garcia
- 6J. Shehu
- 7M. Fornalczyk
- 8E. Kornvig
- 10F. Alvarez
- 28K. Swiderski
- 99S. Bergier
- 30V. Ilic
- 4M. Zyro
- 14R. Visus
- 91M. Krajewski
- 98Paulinho Boia
- 18L. Selahi
- 20A. Klukowski
- 77A. Baena Perez
- 57S. Akere
- 1X. Dziekonski
- 71W. Dlugosz
- 23S. Rubezic
- 44K. Sotiriou
- 6M. Pieczek
- 18P. Hellebrand
- 35K. Jakubczyk
- 9S. Davidovic
- 8M. Remacle
- 22M. Fassbender
- 14M. Stepinski
- 87R. Mamla
- 12M. Mikielewicz
- 24B. Smolarczyk
- 2A. Mosor
- 67N. Barczak
- 10Nono
- 11K. Matuszewski
- 37H. Zwozny
- 21K. Ciszek
Form going into Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Jagiellonia9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wisla Plock31 July 2026
- D2-2Motor Lublin26 July 2026
Korona Kielce
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Legia Warszawa8 August 2026
- L0-2Gornik Zabrze1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Jagiellonia25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce
- 15 May 2026Korona Kielce 1–0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 23 November 2025Widzew Łódź 1–3 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
- 11 April 2025Korona Kielce 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 4 December 2024Korona Kielce 1–0 Widzew ŁódźCup
- 4 October 2024Widzew Łódź 0–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
GoalsAssists
- K. Świderski51
Korona Kielce
GoalsAssists
- M. Stępiński60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Korona Kielce won 2–1 at Widzew Łódź. The model had leaned towards a win for Widzew Łódź at 51% and given a win for Korona Kielce 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: S. Kapuadi 8' for Widzew Łódź, M. Fassbender 22' for Korona Kielce, M. Fassbender 26' for Korona Kielce. On expected goals it finished 2.31–2.09.