Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Piast Gliwice 3-4 Wieczysta Kraków.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Piast Gliwice, 21% draw, 19% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 1.67, 4.76 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Piast Gliwice at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 75D. Gril
- 28F. Borowski
- 5Juande
- 4J. Czerwinski
- 36J. Lewicki
- 90I. Lima
- 31O. Lesniak
- 27J. Labojko
- 7J. Felix
- 80H. Vallejo
- 19S. Ntamack
- 12M. Mendes-Dudzinski
- 99E. Twumasi
- 3E. Fikaj
- 15L. Pitan
- 77S. Mucha
- 18O. Maziarz
- 10A. Katsantonis
- 98J. Lokilo
- 11L. Sanca
- 1A. Mikulko
- 17K. Dankowski
- 24M. Wieteska
- 16A. Milic
- 27M. Vojtko
- 70P. Pusic
- 20M. Maigaard
- 12L. Piazon
- 7L. Semedo
- 10T. Christensen
- 97T. Mras
- 26N. Cavlina
- 4K. Fila
- 55D. Dujmovic
- 15A. Djermanovic
- 13K. Zagrodzki
- 8B. Lederman
- 11N. Knezevic
- 88C. Lungoyi
- 23Miki Villar
Form going into Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków
Piast Gliwice
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Lech Poznan9 August 2026
- W4-3Wisla Krakow1 August 2026
- L0-2away to Zaglebie Lubin27 July 2026
Wieczysta Kraków
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice9 August 2026
- L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 22 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków
- 26 September 2023Wieczysta Kraków 0–4 Piast GliwiceCup
Leading scorers: Piast Gliwice and Wieczysta Kraków
Piast Gliwice
GoalsAssists
- Hugo Vallejo51
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lucas Piazón42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wieczysta Kraków won 4–3 at Piast Gliwice. The model had leaned towards a win for Piast Gliwice at 60% and given a win for Wieczysta Kraków 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: T. Christensen 6' for Wieczysta Kraków, T. Christensen 62' for Wieczysta Kraków, Miki Villar 64' for Wieczysta Kraków, T. Christensen 71' for Wieczysta Kraków, O. Maziarz 87' for Piast Gliwice, J. Czerwinski 90' for Piast Gliwice, L. Sanca 90' for Piast Gliwice. On expected goals it finished 1.16–1.68.