Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Instituto Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Atletico Tucuman, 26% draw, 48% Instituto Cordoba — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Instituto Cordoba at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. IngolottiG
- 24L. Di PlacidoD
- 26C. D. Ferreira NamanduD
- 36L. VallejoD
- 32J. InfanteD
- 19L. VegaM
- 11R. TesuriM
- 31L. GodoyM
- 10N. FrancoM
- 23N. LamendolaM
- 30M. BrondoF
- 25T. DursoG
- 17J. RodriguezD
- 6G. FerrariD
- 2R. PauneroD
- 27R. GranilloF
- 5J. FernandezM
- 8E. HamM
- 28G. CompagnucciD
- 9L. DiazF
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 30J. GalvanD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 6F. R. AlarconD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 55G. AbreguM
- 15M. GallardoM
- 3D. SosaM
- 20J. E. Cordoba MosqueraF
- 17M. TisseraF
- 10A. LunaF
- 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
- 2H. De La FuenteD
- 22A. MassaccesiD
- 32A. BravoD
- 23A. MeliD
- 21J. LazaroM
- 13J. MendezM
- 8J. AcevedoM
- 14W. VieraM
Form going into Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto17 August 2026
- L1-2Sarmiento Junin8 August 2026
- D0-0away to Huracan4 August 2026
- W2-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago31 July 2026
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia26 July 2026
Instituto Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago16 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza9 August 2026
- W1-0away to Lanus3 August 2026
- W2-1Platense30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
What these results say
- Atletico Tucuman kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Atletico Tucuman had two goals or fewer.
- Instituto Cordoba won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Instituto Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Instituto Cordoba had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba
- 20 February 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 October 2025Instituto Cordoba 2–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 April 2025Atletico Tucuman 3–2 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 July 2024Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2024Instituto Cordoba 3–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 29 August 2023Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Instituto CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
The result against the call
Atletico Tucuman and Instituto Cordoba drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Instituto Cordoba at 48% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.28–0.69.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.