20 September 2026, 21:30 UTC

Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result

Rio de Janeiro
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Flamengo 2-1 RB Bragantino.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Flamengo, 25% draw, 23% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Flamengo at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Ayrton Lucasout: Alex Sandro
5'
6'
Fernando dos Santos Pedro
⚽Guillermo Varelaassist: Jorge Carrascal
13'
Alex Sandro
37'
45'
🔁Rodriguinhoout: Alix Vinicius
45'
🔁Isidro Pittaout: Henry Mosquera
Guillermo Varela
51'
58'
🔁Vanderlan Barbosa da Silvaout: Jose Herrera
⚽Pedroassist: Jorginho
71'
🔁Jorge Carrascalout: Luiz Araújo
72'
🔁Pedroout: Bruno Henrique
72'
77'
🔁Fábio Silva de Freitasout: Ignacio Sosa Ospital
78'
🔁Tiago Volpiout: Cleiton
86'
⚽Bruno Henrique (OG)
Bruno Henrique
89'
🔁Gonzalo Plataout: Joaquín Freitas
90+2'
🔁Giorgian de Arrascaetaout: Nicolas De la Cruz
90+2'
90+6'
Jose Herrera
90+8'
Agustin Sant Anna

Match stats — Flamengo vs RB Bragantino

66%Possession34%
11Shots15
6On target5
2Corners5

Line-ups

Flamengo 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. RossiG
  • 2G. VarelaD
  • 3Léo OrtizD
  • 4Léo PereiraD
  • 6Ayrton LucasD
  • 21JorginhoM
  • 8SaúlM
  • 19G. PlataM
  • 10G. de ArrascaetaM
  • 15J. CarrascalM
  • 9PedroF
Substitutes
  • 79Caio AndradeM
  • 30J. FreitasF
  • 22Emerson RoyalD
  • 26Alex SandroD
  • 27Bruno HenriqueF
  • 14A. ValenciaF
  • 44VitãoD
  • 42AndrewG
  • 13DaniloD
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 23A. Sant'AnnaD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 2Guzmán RodríguezD
  • 12VanderlanD
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 20RodriguinhoM
  • 11FernandoM
  • 9I. PittaF
Substitutes
  • 8Eduardo SashaF
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 6GabrielM
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 19BruninhoF
  • 32J. HerreraF
  • 34J. HurtadoD
  • 30Henry MosqueraF
  • 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
Coach: Vagner Mancini

Form going into Flamengo vs RB Bragantino

Flamengo

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Corinthians13 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Remo6 September 2026
  • W2-0Mirassol2 September 2026
  • W3-0Botafogo30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Cruzeiro22 August 2026

RB Bragantino

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Botafogo12 September 2026
  • L2-3Bahia5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
  • W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Flamengo3322746828+4073
9RB Bragantino33128134238+444

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Flamengo vs RB Bragantino

  • 3 April 2026RB Bragantino 3–0 FlamengoSerie A
  • 23 November 2025Flamengo 3–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 24 July 2025RB Bragantino 1–2 FlamengoSerie A
  • 25 August 2024Flamengo 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 4 May 2024RB Bragantino 1–1 FlamengoSerie A

The full Flamengo vs RB Bragantino record →

Leading scorers: Flamengo and RB Bragantino

Flamengo

GoalsAssists

  • Pedro186
  • Samuel Lino119

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 42 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Flamengo beat RB Bragantino 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Flamengo at 52%. The goals: Guillermo Varela 13' for Flamengo, Pedro 71' for Flamengo, Bruno Henrique (own goal) 86' for RB Bragantino.

How the call on Flamengo v RB Bragantino has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 52% / 25% / 23%: the biggest move is Flamengo's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Flamengo win52%▲ +6
  2. Draw25%▼ −3
  3. RB Bragantino win23%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.