6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Noah vs FC Sion UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Full time2 – 2

Final score: FC Noah 2-2 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Noah, 28% draw, 32% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FC Sion v FC Noah, 13 Aug →

FC Sion went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Noah at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Noah4%Draw93%FC Sion3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
Nias Hefti
⚽Helder Ferreira (pen)
5'
13'
⚽W. Boteliassist: F. Surdez
⚽G. Manvelyanassist: Helder Ferreira
20'
26'
Nias Hefti
26'
Nias Hefti
30'
🔁R. Nivokaziout: Marquinhos Cipriano
🔁H. Hambardzumyanout: E. Boakye
32'
🔁D. Sualeheout: M. Pavlovic
46'
57'
⚽I. Chouarefassist: W. Boteli
🔁M. Lazeticout: V. Costache
60'
60'
🔁F. Surdezout: D. Rrudhani
60'
🔁W. Boteliout: T. Berdayes
Stone Muzalimoja Mambo
64'
🔁G. Manvelyanout: S. Muradyan
67'
75'
🔁I. Chouarefout: J. Lukembila

Match stats — FC Noah vs FC Sion

53%Possession47%
11Shots15
4On target6
1Corners2

Line-ups

FC Noah 4-3-3
  • 99Figueira DanielG
  • 19H. HambardzumyanD
  • 39N. SaintiniD
  • 4S. MamboD
  • 33D. SualeheD
  • 14T. OshimaM
  • 10G. ManvelyanM
  • 17G. SangareM
  • 7Helder FerreiraM
  • 8M. LazeticF
  • 44M. JakolisM
Substitutes
  • 29A. ConeglianG
  • 20V. CostacheF
  • 23A. KhamoyanM
  • 21M. PavlovicD
  • 5M. AvetisyanD
  • 3S. MuradyanD
  • 18K. DoumbiaF
  • 6E. BoakyeD
  • 24Z. KhudaverdyanF
Coach: Sandro Perkovic
FC Sion 4-4-2
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8BaltazarM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 13W. BoteliM
Substitutes
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 40S. CailletG
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 38R. KesslerD
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 29T. BerdayesF
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
Coach: Didier Tholot

Form going into FC Noah vs FC Sion

FC Noah

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Zimbru30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Zimbru23 July 2026

FC Sion

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
  • W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Sion scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Leading scorers: FC Noah and FC Sion

FC Noah

No leading scorers listed yet.

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • R. Nivokazi50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Noah and FC Sion drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Noah at 40% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Helder Ferreira (penalty) 5' for FC Noah, W. Boteli 13' for FC Sion, G. Manvelyan 20' for FC Noah, I. Chouaref 57' for FC Sion. Sent off: Nias Hefti (FC Sion) 26', Stone Muzalimoja Mambo (FC Noah) 64'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.