6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Paide vs Rapid Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Paide 1-4 Rapid Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Paide, 25% draw, 43% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Rapid Vienna v Paide, 12 Aug →

Rapid Vienna went through 6–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid Vienna at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Paide0%Draw1%Rapid Vienna99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
•Nikolaus Wurmbrand
5'
⚽B. Bolla (pen)
⚽D. Luts
41'
Oskar Hoim
55'
57'
Bendegúz Bolla
🔁Daniel Cabralout: H. Ojamaa
58'
59'
🔁M. Tilioout: P. Dahl
🔁A. Badamosiout: H. Anier
66'
69'
🔁T. Gulliksenout: Y. Demir
69'
🔁L. Schaubout: N. Bajlicz
69'
🔁N. Wurmbrandout: M. Haidara
🔁N. Baranovout: Andrade
80'
🔁D. Lutsout: M. Jobarteh
80'
83'
⚽M. Haidara
85'
⚽P. Dahlassist: B. Bolla
87'
🔁B. Bollaout: E. Roka
90'
⚽M. Haidaraassist: T. Adamsen

Match stats — Paide vs Rapid Vienna

26%Possession74%
8Shots22
2On target8
4Corners5

Line-ups

Paide 4-2-3-1
  • 99E. JarjuG
  • 7E. TurD
  • 27N. BaranovD
  • 3Victor HugoD
  • 2M. LilanderD
  • 10M. MillerM
  • 28O. HoimM
  • 77D. LutsM
  • 11M. P. Sohna
  • 6Daniel CabralM
  • 30A. BadamosiF
Substitutes
  • 12M. MeeritsG
  • 56M. SappG
  • 8H. OjamaaM
  • 44K. KaitD
  • 16A. SuroginM
  • 17P. A. ChamM
  • 9H. AnierF
  • 15H. OjamaaD
  • 20K. PihtF
Coach: Tarmo Kink
Rapid Vienna 4-1-3-2
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 15N. WurmbrandM
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 7M. TilioM
  • 8T. AdamsenF
  • 17T. GulliksenF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 51B. GoschlG
  • 22Y. DemirF
  • 4J. M. SchollerD
  • 10P. DahlF
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 2E. RokaD
  • 47A. GrollerD
  • 38J. HornD
Coach: Johannes Thorup

Form going into Paide vs Rapid Vienna

Paide

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Zira30 July 2026
  • W1-0Zira23 July 2026

Rapid Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0SCR Altach2 August 2026
  • W6-2FC Santa Coloma29 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Santa Coloma23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Leading scorers: Paide and Rapid Vienna

Paide

No leading scorers listed yet.

Rapid Vienna

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kara71
  • P. Dahl71
  • T. Adamsen55

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid Vienna won 4–1 at Paide. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: B. Bolla (penalty) 5' for Rapid Vienna, D. Luts 41' for Paide, M. Haidara 83' for Rapid Vienna, P. Dahl 85' for Rapid Vienna, M. Haidara 90' for Rapid Vienna.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.