6 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Hibernian vs Shkendija UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Easter Road, Edinburgh
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Hibernian 2-1 Shkendija.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Hibernian, 21% draw, 58% Shkendija — fair odds of 4.76, 4.76 and 1.72.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Shkendija v Hibernian, 13 Aug →

Hibernian went through 2–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Shkendija at 58%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hibernian4%Draw90%Shkendija6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

O. Elding
56'
🔁M. Boyleout: A. Suto
60'
🔁A. Mayorout: C. Wright
60'
M. Chaiwa
63'
63'
🔁E. Krasniqiout: M. Murati
64'
🔁A. Kryeziuout: V. Krstevski
70'
D. Islami
73'
🔁F. Ndzengueout: M. Gjorgjievski
⚽O. Eldingassist: C. Wright
73'
🔁J. Mulliganout: A. Abdulai
74'
76'
⚽M. Gjorgjievskiassist: A. Zejnullai
80'
M. Murati
90+3'
V. Krstevski
🔁N. Loweout: T. Klidje
90+2'
🔁M. Chaiwaout: J. Campbell
90+1'
90+3'
🔁A. Zejnullaiout: F. Ramadani
⚽W. O'Hora
90'

Match stats — Hibernian vs Shkendija

57%Possession43%
4On target2
4Corners3

Line-ups

Hibernian 4-3-3
  • 1R. SallingerG
  • 25F. PasslackM
  • 6J. KerrD
  • 5W. O'HoraD
  • 21J. ObitaD
  • 8J. MulliganM
  • 14M. ChaiwaM
  • 3A. MayorM
  • 7O. EldingF
  • 9N. LoweF
  • 10M. BoyleF
Substitutes
  • 13J. SmithG
  • 35F. OwensG
  • 4G. HanleyD
  • 11J. NewellM
  • 18T. KlidjeF
  • 20R. Molotnikov
  • 22A. SutoF
  • 23C. WrightM
  • 27K. MegwaM
Coach: David Gray
Shkendija 4-2-3-1
  • 30F. RamaniG
  • 2A. TrumciD
  • 55J. ManevD
  • 26A. MeljichiD
  • 17A. ZejnullaiM
  • 8RafaM
  • 5D. IslamiM
  • 29F. TambaF
  • 10E. KrasniqiM
  • 11A. KryeziuM
  • 9F. NdzengueF
Substitutes
  • 25A. AmzaiG
  • 7B. IbraimiF
  • 16M. MuratiD
  • 18N. CekaD
  • 19V. KrstevskiF
  • 21A. IsaM
  • 49S. SpahiuM
  • 77F. RamadaniM
  • 99M. GjorgjievskiF
Coach: Artim Polozani

Form going into Hibernian vs Shkendija

Hibernian

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Motherwell2 August 2026
  • W4-1Malisheva30 July 2026
  • L0-2away to Malisheva23 July 2026

Shkendija

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Bravo30 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Bravo23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Leading scorers: Hibernian and Shkendija

Hibernian

GoalsAssists

  • C. Wright31

Shkendija

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hibernian beat Shkendija 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Shkendija at 58% and given a win for Hibernian 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: O. Elding 73' for Hibernian, M. Gjorgjievski 76' for Shkendija, W. O'Hora 90' for Hibernian.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.