Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Plzen, 22% draw, 19% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Plzen at 59% here. Across 2892 settled matches, 682 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Plzen
- L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
- W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
- W3-0Plzen20 August 2026
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva11 August 2026
- W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Plzen | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 3 | +21 | 28 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Super Liga
Head-to-head: Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 20 August 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 PlzenUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda
Plzen
No league goals yet this season.
FK Crvena Zvezda
- V. Kostov4 goals1 assists
- M. Abu Fani2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.