27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Doosan Arena, Plzen
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Plzen, 22% draw, 19% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 Plzen (20 Aug) →

Plzen went through 5–4 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Plzen at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Plzen99%Draw1%FK Crvena Zvezda0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Aduassist: C. Souare
8'
11'
⚽M. Ivanic
50'
Franklin Tebo
⚽Prince Kwabena Adu (pen)
51'
54'
Osman Bukari
⚽D. Visinsky (pen)
58'
60'
🔁M. Ivanicout: M. Bajo
⚽P. Hrosovskyassist: L. Cerv
63'
65'
Marko Arnautović
67'
🔁M. Arnautovicout: J. Enem
🔁P. Aduout: T. Ladra
72'
🔁K. Spacilout: M. Vydra
72'
🔁D. Visinskyout: C. Kabongo
72'
72'
🔁T. Elsnikout: Rodrigo
🔁C. Souareout: A. Sojka
79'
🔁L. Cervout: B. Faal
86'
90+4'
Rodrigão
90+2'
Jay Enem
⚽C. Kabongo (pen)
90'
🔁F. Prebslout: D. Krcik
91'
95'
🔁M. Chamout: V. Lucic
⚽D. Krcikassist: C. Kabongo
96'
Tomáš Ladra
102'
102'
Derrick Luckassen
105+3'
Vasilije Kostov
105+3'
Rade Krunić

Match stats — Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda

55%Possession45%
11On target2
5Corners3

Line-ups

Plzen 3-5-1-1
  • 44F. WiegeleG
  • 98F. PrebslD
  • 40S. DwehD
  • 5K. SpacilD
  • 99A. MemicM
  • 6L. CervM
  • 17P. HrosovskyM
  • 19C. SouareM
  • 14M. DoskiM
  • 9D. VisinskyF
  • 80P. AduF
Substitutes
  • 1D. TapajG
  • 37D. KrcikD
  • 18T. LadraF
  • 12A. SojkaM
  • 20J. PanosM
  • 66S. BohacM
  • 36S. PirgicM
  • 11M. VydraF
  • 7S. LawalF
Coach: Radoslav Kovac
FK Crvena Zvezda 3-4-3
  • 1MatheusG
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 33R. KrunicM
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 70M. ChamM
  • 14O. BukariF
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 4M. IvanicF
Substitutes
  • 50S. RadanovicG
  • 77I. GutesaG
  • 5RodrigoD
  • 27M. StrikaD
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 60M. GashtarovM
  • 75L. LoizouM
Coach: Albert Riera

Form going into Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Plzen

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 August 2026
  • W3-2Zlin15 August 2026
  • D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
  • D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
  • L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026
  • W3-0Plzen20 August 2026
  • L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva11 August 2026
  • W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026

What these results say

  • Plzen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Plzen failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Plzen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda

  • 20 August 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

The result against the call

Plzen beat FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1. The model had made a win for Plzen its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. Adu 8' for Plzen, M. Ivanic 11' for FK Crvena Zvezda, D. Visinsky (penalty) 58' for Plzen, P. Hrosovsky 63' for Plzen, C. Kabongo (penalty) 90' for Plzen, D. Krcik 96' for Plzen. Sent off: Osman Bukari (FK Crvena Zvezda) 54'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.